Hazardous Weather Outlook
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1100 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-221700-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1100 AM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MOISTURE ON THE RISE AGAIN TODAY AS BOTH LOW LEVELS AND MID LEVELS
IMPORT ADDITIONAL MOISTURE INTO THE BORDERLAND. IN ADDITION...A
NUMBER OF FEATURES...DISTURBANCE...TROUGH...FRONT...WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA TO HELP CREATE INSTABILITY AND LIFT. THE RESULTS
SHOULD BE A SHARP INCREASE IN SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY ACROSS ALL
OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS. WITH DEEP
MOISTURE AND SLOW STORM MOTION...HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED. SATURATED
GROUND FROM RECENT EXCESSIVE RAINFALL MEANS QUICK RUNOFF OF
RAINFALL WITH INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. STREAMS...
CREEKS...WASHES...AND ARROYOS WILL BE QUICK TO RUN. LOW LYING
AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE QUICK TO FILL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS AGAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL BUT THE BOOTHEEL UNTIL 6AM MONDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES MONDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS
OVER THE REGION AND AN UPPER TROUGH PASSES TO OUR NORTH. DRYING
ALOFT BEHIND THE PASSING TROUGH ON TUESDAY AND A LACK OF FOCUS
FEATURES SHOULD MEAN A SHARP REDUCTION IN RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
AND COVERAGE TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DURING THIS PERIOD WE SHOULD
SEE THE TYPICAL PATTERN OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOUNTAIN STORMS
FOLLOWED LATER IN THE DAY BY ISOLATED LOWLAND STORMS. SATURDAY WE
WATCH ANOTHER PACIFIC TROUGH INBOUND FROM THE WEST THAT LOOKS TO
SPARK A PERIOD OF INCREASED STORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY AS IT PASSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$

BIRD




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