Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 
000
ACUS11 KWNS 250614
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250614
TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-250845-

Mesoscale Discussion 1671
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0114 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Areas affected...Eastern New Mexico into parts of western Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 250614Z - 250845Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A few storms may produce marginally severe hail through
the early morning hours.

DISCUSSION...A few strong storms have formed near and south of a
cold front, near an instability axis and aided by a 30 kt southerly
low-level jet. Height tendencies aloft will remain little changed in
the near term, but sufficient low-level convergence and an uncapped
moist air mass should maintain a threat of scattered storms into
Monday morning. Hodographs are not particularly favorable for any
long-lived storms, with relatively weak midlevel winds. But
instability appears strong enough for a few strong cores capable of
some hail.

..Jewell/Grams.. 09/25/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON   33830509 36170420 36750342 36680276 36220219 34140238
            32630284 31900336 31700423 31800502 32410544 32790547
            33830509
USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.