Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 211119
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
619 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 614 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

ONLY ADJUSTMENT WAS TO ADJUST CLOUD COVER A BIT NEAR BELCOURT
AS A FEW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...A SUNNY DAY IS STILL ON TAP WITH SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 301 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

LOOKS LIKE PERFECT WEATHER IS ON TAP FOR SUNDAY. LIGHT WINDS...SUNNY
SKIES AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WILL MAKE FOR A LOVELY DAY
ACROSS THE REGION.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 301 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS UPPER RIDGE WORKS ITS WAY
OVER THE AREA WHILE UPPER LOW THAT LIFTED FROM THE GREAT BASIN
PASSES OVER THE ROCKIES AND STARTS ITS APPROACH TOWARDS THE PLAINS.
LOW MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY...WITH MODELS
DIFFERING A BIT ON EXACT POSITION...THOUGH AGREE THAT MOST PRECIP
SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA WITH US ON THE
NORTHERN/EASTERN FRINGES. THEREFORE...KEPT MOST PRECIPITATION
CHANCES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH THE
DAY...SHIFTING MAINLY OVER THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY TOWARDS EVENING AS
SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST. RIDGE REBUILDS OVER THE AREA BRINGING DRY
CONDITIONS AND SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WORK WEEK. MODELS HINTING AT THE NEXT PRECIPITATION CHANCES COMING
TOWARDS THE WEEKEND AS RIDGE PUSHES EAST...BUT WILL KEEP ANY CHANCES
ON THE LOW SIDE FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 614 AM CDT SUN SEP 21 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JJS
SHORT TERM...AJ
LONG TERM...JJS
AVIATION...JJS





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