Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 071954
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
254 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...

SUMMER WILL BECOME FIRMLY ENTRENCHED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS
WEEK...AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BRINGS INCREASED DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES AND HELPS SUPPRESS MOST DIURNAL CONVECTION. THE
FORECAST WILL BE FAIRLY STRIAGHTFORWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH BELOW NORMAL POPS AND ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPS. LONGER RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE
MOVING SUFFICIENTLY WESTWARD BY EARLY NEXT WEEK TO ALLOW NORTHWEST
FLOW TO RETURN TO OUR AREA AS HEIGHTS BACK OFF.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.
ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE EVENING...PRIMARILY VFR WEATHER SHOULD
CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL AL. STRONG DAYTIME HEATING AND INTERACTION
OF VARIOUS BOUNDARIES COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. CONFIDENCE ON
THE IF/WHEN OF CONVECTION FORMING IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH FOR INCLUSION
IN THE TAF. VFR WEATHER OTHERWISE SHOULD CONTINUE THIS EVENING
INTO THE LATE NIGHT. HAVE NOTED MVFR FOG BEFORE DAYBREAK IN THOSE
MORE PRONE SITES. SOME OF THESE SPOTS COULD HAVE BRIEF IFR VIS
AND/OR CIG REDUCTIONS. VFR SHOULD RETURN A FEW HOURS AFTER
DAYBREAK...AND CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

THE WEATHER PATTERN DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE MORE TYPICAL
OF SUMMER ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL INCH
UP AND RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     71  92  71  92  71 /  10  10  10  20  10
ANNISTON    71  91  72  92  72 /  10  10  10  20  10
BIRMINGHAM  74  92  74  93  74 /  10  10  10  20  10
TUSCALOOSA  73  94  73  95  74 /  10  10  10  20  10
CALERA      72  92  72  93  73 /  10  10  10  20  10
AUBURN      72  91  72  92  73 /  10  10  10  20  10
MONTGOMERY  73  94  73  95  74 /  10  10  10  20  10
TROY        72  94  72  94  73 /  10  10  10  20  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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