Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 301150 AAA
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
650 AM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.UPDATE...
For 12Z Aviation.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Today and Tonight.

Surface high pressure is in control across Central Alabama this
AM. Beautiful dry fall weather will continue through tonight
with northwest flow across the area. The main low pressure will
continue to swirl over Indiana. We could see through today a
little wrap around cloudiness at times across the north and west
counties. However, any moisture will be shallow with no
precipitation expected. Temperatures today and tonight will be
similar to yesterday for the most part as ridging remains.

08

.LONG TERM...
Saturday through Thursday.

A warming trend is expected for the weekend and into the upcoming
week as a closed low over the Ohio Valley starts to retreat on
Saturday. Deep daytime mixing and good radiational cooling at
night will be the theme from day to day. With the ongoing drought
and minimal soil moisture, temperatures should exceed guidance by
2-5 degrees in the afternoons with overnight lows at or just below
guidance. This means we have likely not seen the last of the 90
degree readings, and some locations could reach this mark on
Monday and/or Tuesday. Overnight lows will gradually increase back
into upper 50s to low/mid 60s as the airmass modifies and gains
moisture content.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF Discussion.

Low pressure system spinning over Indiana. Some wrap around low
stratus are circling around the base of this low across North
Alabama. 1M4 and CMD are reporting 300 and 200 FT respectively
(just NW/N of BHM). These clouds are looking to have trouble
holding together as they sink southward as they venture into a
drier airmass. Will only tempo BKN for BHM for a couple of hours
as mixing should alleviate this shortly. VFR for all others with
only light NW winds during the day today with ridging in control
across the area.

08

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry weather is expected through the next 7 days. No fire weather
concerns are anticipated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     74  51  82  52  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
Anniston    74  52  83  53  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  76  54  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  78  53  84  55  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
Calera      76  54  83  57  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
Auburn      76  53  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  79  55  86  58  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
Troy        78  53  85  55  87 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

08/87


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