Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 031759 AAB
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1159 AM CST Sat Dec 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Made some major changes to the forecast. With the frontal boundary
draped along the Texas coast, and higher surface pressure
building in from the north, not much northward movement expected
with the warm front. This had led to much cooler daytime
temperatures, generally expected to range in the 50s to 60s as
South Texas remains socked in. That said, much of the surface
focus has shifted farther south. That still does not discount
elevated activity in the mid-upper flow. Showers and light rain
are still expected, but coverage should be less widespread than
previously thinking. However over the waters, showers and storms
are still expected mainly along the boundary.

Have cancelled the High Rip Current Risk but Moderate Risk for
Dangerous Rip Currents will exist through the overnight for long
period swells and elevated swell heights.

A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for the Kleberg, Nueces and
San Patricio Counties as tides are running.

.AVIATION...

Predominantly IFR through the TAF period. With the warm front
remaining well to the south...cloud heights will remain low
through much of the period. Some brief periods of MVFR CIGs may be
possible...but again...predominantly IFR. -RA/-SHRA is continued
to be expected...with slightly more activity this evening. Latest
models are suggesting additional activity moving out of Mexico
toward LRD...so have added TEMPOs of stronger activity with
thunder. Overall...winds will generally be out of the N to NE
10-15 KTs.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    69  61  62  55  68  /  70  90  70  70  40
Victoria          55  54  57  53  64  /  90  90  80  70  50
Laredo            65  56  57  51  69  /  50  80  70  70  10
Alice             67  57  59  53  68  /  70  80  70  70  30
Rockport          69  62  62  57  67  /  80  90  90  70  40
Cotulla           57  55  56  50  66  /  70  80  70  70  10
Kingsville        69  61  62  55  69  /  70  80  70  70  30
Navy Corpus       72  63  65  58  68  /  70  90  80  70  40

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 4 AM CST
     Sunday For the following zones: Kleberg...Nueces...San
     Patricio.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening For the
     following zones: Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas
     from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda
     Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon For the
     following zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port
     Aransas out 20 NM...Coastal waters from Port Aransas to
     Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM.

&&

$$

CB/85...SHORT TERM


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