Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
FXUS64 KCRP 290140
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
840 PM CDT WED SEP 28 2016
The 00Z CRP sounding continues to show a moist airmass with PWAT
of 2 inches. However, drier air is expected to filter into S TX
overnight as reinforcing high pressure builds into the area. This
will maintain mild/cooler temps and dry conditions overnight into
Thu. Overall, forecast looks on track with no major changes at
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 642 PM CDT WED SEP 28 2016/
See aviation discussion below for the 00Z TAFS.
VFR conditions are expected through much of the TAF period, with
the exception of ALI where brief patchy fog early Thu morning may
lead to brief MVFR vsbys. Sfc winds will be light generally
varying from the NNW to NE.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 325 PM CDT WED SEP 28 2016/
SHORT TERM (Tonight through Thursday Night)...
Minimal changes of significance made to the short term forecast.
Scattered cumulus across inland locations should quickly dissipate
with loss of diurnal warming with mainly clear skies expected to
prevail during the overnight hours. Reinforcing surge of high
pressure/front is prog to arrive late tonight into Thursday
morning. Thursday should be breezier from the NNE...especially
during the late morning and afternoon hours /strongest winds
along the coast/. Despite a northerly flow...max temps may be a
couple of degrees warmer Thursday than today as cooler airmass to
the north does not arrive until Friday. Mainly clear skies
continue Thursday into Thursday night with noticeably cooler
conditions prog to occur Thurs night.
LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...
A weak upper level ridge will be just west of the area Friday into
Saturday while a deep upper low will reside over the Ohio Valley.
Surface high pressure ridge will remain over East Texas down to the
coast maintaining dry air over the region. Mild low temperatures are
expected through the weekend. The surface ridge will shift to the
east by the beginning of next week and moisture will slowly increase
over the region. After high temperatures in the 80s Friday through
the weekend, readings will be back into the 90s early next week. A
strong upper trough will move into the west coast Monday with the
downstream ridge moving through south Texas. The upper trough moves
through the Rockies on Tuesday with a gradual increase in onshore
flow expected. Sufficient moisture will be in place by Wednesday to
provide a slight chance of convection over the coastal waters into
the coastal plains as the upper trough moves into the southern
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi 71 91 65 86 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Victoria 65 89 59 84 58 / 0 0 0 0 0
Laredo 72 91 65 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 0
Alice 69 93 63 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 0
Rockport 71 89 66 84 66 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cotulla 69 90 61 84 59 / 0 0 0 0 0
Kingsville 72 93 63 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 0
Navy Corpus 74 88 69 84 69 / 0 0 0 0 0