Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 291115
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
615 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for aviation section.

&&

.AVIATION...

Fog has developed this morning over portions of the area. Only
affecting ALI taf site at this time, but could briefly impact VCT
as the sun comes up. Expect VFR conditions to then redevelop this
morning and remain through the afternoon. Tonight have included
MVFR visbys for ALI and VCT toward morning, but have left cigs as
VFR for all sites at this time. A few showers today will likely
occur for eastern half of South Texas, but chances too small at
any given location to include in tafs.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 351 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016/

SHORT TERM (Today through Saturday)...

Moisture levels will decrease across the region today leading to
only slight chance for showers and thunderstorms. Upper level
disturbance to the south will help to pull that drier air into the
region. Have made just minor changes to previous forecast with 20
POPs east in the morning...expanding into the central brush
country in the afternoon. Expect dry conditions overnight with a
few additional showers on Sunday...mostly offshore in the morning
then into the Victoria Crossroads region in the afternoon. Max
temperatures not changing much...highs from around 90 east to
around 100 west on Friday...a degree or two warmer on Saturday.
Heat index values between 105 and 109 are likely for many
locations across the area both days.

LONG TERM (Saturday Night through Thursday)...

The main weather impact during the extended part of the forecast
will be the heat and humidity. The upper level ridge will reassert
its influence on the region this weekend into next week. This should
result in mostly dry conditions for much the region. However, there
may be enough lingering moisture for isolated showers/storms on
Sunday over the Gulf Waters into the northern Coastal Bend. Included
a 20 pop for these areas but confidence is on the low side.
Otherwise, temperatures will be on the rise during the long term.
Highs will climb between 100 and 105 over the Brush Country and Rio
Grande Plains, with upper 90s across the Victoria Crossroads.
Afternoon heat index values will be between 105 and 109 daily, and
some locations may flirt with heat advisory criteria at times.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    95  78  95  79  96  /  20  10  10  10  10
Victoria          96  76  95  78  97  /  20  10  20  10  20
Laredo           101  78 104  78 103  /  10  10  10  10  10
Alice             98  76 100  77 102  /  20  10  10  10  10
Rockport          92  82  92  81  94  /  20  10  10  10  20
Cotulla          100  76 101  76 102  /  10  10  10  10  10
Kingsville        97  77  98  78 100  /  20  10  10  10  10
Navy Corpus       92  81  93  80  93  /  20  10  10  10  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION


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