Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 270602 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
102 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.UPDATE...
PLEASE SEE THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT AREA TAF SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS REMAIN INTACT DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS...WITH WINDS BECOMING WESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 237 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS THIS MORNING SHOWED THE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM
THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TO WEST TEXAS. AT THE SURFACE THE COLD
FRONT HAS MOVED OFF THE COAST AND COOLER...DRIER AIR IS MOVING IN
WITH TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS 15 DEGREES LOWER THAN 24 HOURS
AGO. THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL MOVE ACROSS TEXAS TONIGHT AND
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL MOVE IN. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS AND THE WINDS WILL TURN TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST. LOOKING FOR DRY WEATHER WITH A CHILLY MORNING ON FRIDAY
AND THEN WARMER THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR THE
WEEKEND. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY AND WARM. MODELS ARE COMING
INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS TEXAS
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH A SURFACE FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS WILL ALL BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN
STARTING MONDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. DRY WEATHER
WILL RETURN AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES AWAY FOR THE END OF THE
PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              79  53  82  56  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  78  48  80  52  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     79  50  81  54  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            77  50  81  54  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           80  52  85  55  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        78  50  81  54  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             78  47  81  52  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        77  50  80  53  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   76  50  79  56  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       78  52  80  55  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           77  50  81  54  81 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...24
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...17


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