Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 300454
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1154 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.AVIATION...
WILL PROBABLY SEE SOME SCT MVFR CIGS AND PATCHY FOG DEVELOP ACROSS
PARTS OF THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY MORNING. OTHERWISE
MAINLY VFR. WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP AN EYE ON CONVECTION UPSTREAM
FOR ANY SURPRISES BUT FEEL PRETTY GOOD TO REMOVE MOST MENTIONS OF
PRECIP OVERNIGHT. CIGS SHOULD LIFT MID MORNING AND A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL SAG IN SE TX. EXPECT SCT TSTMS TO DEVELOP ON BOTH
THIS BOUNDARY ALONG W/ SEABREEZE DURING MID MORNING HOURS AND
PROBABLY COLLIDE ACROSS CNTL PARTS OF SE TX LATE IN THE AFTN/EVNG.
STRONG STORMS AND INCREASED RAIN RATES WILL OCCUR IF/WHERE THIS
OCCURS. ANOTHER UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT SUNDAY AND COULD SEE EITHER CONTINUED PRECIP OR
REDEVELOPMENT DURING THE OVERNIGHT TIME PERIOD. 47

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 858 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015/
QUIET EVENING ACROSS SE TX WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. ADJUSTED POPS
DOWN FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING AND TAPERED FROM CHC POPS ACROSS
THE EXTREME NORTHERN AREAS TO SLIGHT CHC ELSEWHERE FOR THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. EXPECT CPNVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO INCREASE LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW AS A SLOW MOVING FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE NW. STILL SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES CONCERNING TIMING OF THE
PRECIP TOMORROW. ONLY CHG FOR NOW IS TO ADJUST POPS DOWN A LITTLE
IN THE MORNING ACROSS SE AREAS. STILL EXPECT A HEAVY
RAINFALL/FLOOD THREAT NEAR THE BOUNDARY BEGINNING AT SOME POINT IN
THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO SAT NIGHT. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      71  83  67  82  66 /  20  70  50  30  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              72  86  69  82  67 /  20  70  70  50  20
GALVESTON (GLS)            77  84  73  82  73 /  20  50  50  50  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...
     BURLESON...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...FORT BEND...GALVESTON...
     GRIMES...HARRIS...HOUSTON...JACKSON...LIBERTY...MADISON...
     MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...
     WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON...WHARTON.

GM...NONE.

&&

$$



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