Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 210139
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
939 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.UPDATE...A SHORT WAVE WILL PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS SE GA THIS
EVE...WITH MOST SHOWER ACTIVITY OFFSHORE BY LATE TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE SE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY TUE AM. WILL PROBABLY HAVE PATCHY
FOG DEVELOP BEFORE DAWN BUT DRY AIR MASS COUPLED WITH PASSING HIGH
CLOUDS WILL HELP MINIMIZE WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG POTENTIAL.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS THIS EVENING THROUGH 03Z-04Z
WITH LIGHT SSE FLOW IN PLACE LESS THAN 5 KTS. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH A LOW LEVEL WIND SHIFT TO THE
NNW BY 12Z TUE WITH CLEARING CLOUDS FROM NW-SE THROUGH EARLY TUE.
TEMPO PERIODS OF MVFR DUE TO LOW CIGS ARE MOST LIKELY AT SSI
TONIGHT...WITH EARLY MORNING SHALLOW FOG (MVFR) POSSIBLE AT JAX/CRG.
FARTHER INLAND AT GNV/VQQ...PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS WERE
ADVERTISED BY 06Z DUE TO SHALLOW FOG WITH TEMPO IFR POSSIBLE BETWEEN
08Z-12Z. LOW CIGS WILL BREAK AND LIFT AFTER SUNRISE UNDER DRIER NNW
FLOW. PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE MORNING TUE ALL TERMINALS.

&&

.MARINE...E/SE WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS THIS EVE WILL SHIFT TO SW
AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THEN NW TUE AM FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD
FRONT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

RIP CURRENTS: A LOW RISK IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY DUE TO AN OFFSHORE
FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  54  81  52  74 /  10   0   0   0
SSI  64  79  59  73 /  20  10   0   0
JAX  61  82  57  76 /  10   0   0   0
SGJ  67  80  62  77 /  10  10   0   0
GNV  60  82  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  62  84  58  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

PP/ABE/AW











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