Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FXUS64 KMRX 301715
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
115 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.AVIATION...UPPER TROUGH IN PLACE OVER THE REGION WITH THE AIR MASS
BECOMING AT LEAST MODERATELY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON.  LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE INCREASING AND CAPE VALUES WILL BE GREATER THE 2000J/KG.
ALL THIS WILL AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TODAY.  STRONG TO
POTENITALLY SEVERE STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL THE MAIN THREAT.  BEST TIMING
FOR THUNRDERSTORMS WILL BE BETWEN 21Z AND 00Z....BUT SOME SCATTERED
CONVECTION SHOULD LINGER INTO THE EVENING. OVERNIGHT...CONVECTION
SHOULD BE ISOLATED WITH LIMITED COVERAGE AND WILL NOT MENTION IN
TAFS FOR NOW.  ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY BUT
GENERALY AFTER 18Z.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

MJB


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