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000
FXUS64 KOUN 221121
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
621 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

.DISCUSSION...
12Z AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

&&

.AVIATION...
PATCHES OF FG AND BR WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY THIS MORNING IN SE
OK...AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT ANY OF OUR TAF SITES. A WEAK
STATIONARY FRONT WILL CAUSE GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTH TONIGHT AS A WARM
FRONT...AND RETURNING MOISTURE OVER THE FRONTAL SURFACE MAY RESULT
IN SCATTERED TSRA LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL OK.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 443 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013/

DISCUSSION...
RAIN WILL TAKE A BREAK TODAY ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA...BUT IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT. MOISTURE RETURN AND FRONTOGENESIS
ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE WILL LEAD TO INCREASING RAIN CHANCES LATE
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. SEVERE STORMS ARE VERY UNLIKELY...EXCEPT IN
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TOMORROW EVENING AND
INTO THE NIGHT.

LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW AND SOUTHWESTERLIES ALOFT WILL BE THE
RULE FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FEW SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS WILL RIPPLE THROUGH THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW...POSSIBLY
BRINGING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...A
RATHER STRONG LOW-LEVEL INVERSION /CAP/ WILL BE IN PLACE FOR MOST
OF THIS TIME...WHICH WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES FAIRLY LOW AFTER
FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  80  59  76  60 /   0  30  50  40
HOBART OK         84  60  82  61 /   0  10  30  40
WICHITA FALLS TX  87  60  88  65 /   0   0  20  40
GAGE OK           83  56  74  58 /   0  10  40  40
PONCA CITY OK     79  56  74  56 /   0  10  30  20
DURANT OK         85  62  83  64 /   0  10  30  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

17/23/23