Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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FXZS60 NSTU 310111
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
211 PM SST FRI JAN 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...A MONSOONAL TROUGH NEAR MANUA WILL
USHER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. A SURFACE RIDGE AHEAD OF THE MONSOONAL TROUGH WILL SHIELD
THE FORWARD MOVEMENT OF THE TROUGH THUS KEEPING THE MONSOON TROUGH
AXIS CLOSE TO TUTUILA AND MANUA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT...WET
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH SHOWERS WILL
PUSH FORWARD ACROSS THE SAMOAN ISLANDS.

.LONG TERM...
.MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A SURFACE RIDGE FROM THE NORTH WILL DISARRAY
DEVELOPMENTS OF WET WEATHER CONDITIONS NEAR THE REGION. IF MODELS
ARE CORRECT...ONLY MINIMAL SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

&&

.MARINE...COMBINED SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FEET WILL SUBSIDE TO NEAR 5 TO 7
FEET SATURDAY MORNING.


&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.A FLASH FLOOD WATCH EFFECTIVE THROUGH SATURDAY.
.A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.
.A HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

&&

$$

BAQUI
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