Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 260524
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1124 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.AVIATION...
NW WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME MIXING IN DRY AIRMASS...
YET STILL GUSTING TO 15 TO 20 KTS AT KELD AND KMLU...WHERE
PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STILL HIGHER...CLOSER TO LOW IN OHIO VALLEY. CLOUD
DECKS AT 6-8K FEET JUST BEGINNING TO CLEAR THESE SAME TWO
TERMINALS TO THE EAST...WITH VFR SKC CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
AREAWIDE THRU 27/06Z AND BEYOND. WESTERLY WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KTS TO
ALSO CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY MONDAY...BECMG LIGHT AFTER 27/00Z.

/VII/.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 945 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
STILL SEEING AREAS OF ELEVATED CU STREAMING S ACROSS WRN AND
SCNTRL AR...AROUND THE ELONGATED CENTER OF THE CLOSED LOW OVER WRN
TN/MID-SOUTH REGION. HOWEVER...THE LAST FEW 11-3.9U SATELLITE
IMAGES HAS SHOWN THIS CU FIELD GRADUALLY ERODING ON ITS WRN FLANK
ACROSS EXTREME ERN OK/SW AR...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE CU FIELD
TO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE CLOSED
LOW. WHILE WINDS ARE NO LONGER GUSTING ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING /EXCEPT FOR THE ELD/MLU AREAS/...A PRESSURE GRADIENT
REMAINS WITH WINDS GENERALLY RANGING FROM 5-10KTS AS OF 03Z. EVEN
WITH THE CLEARING SKY IN PLACE...MIXING HAS HELPED TO HOLD THE 03Z
TEMPS AT OR ABOVE 50 DEGREES OVER MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH WINDS
EXPECTED TO ONLY DROP OFF SLOWLY OVERNIGHT ONCE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT EASES SOME. AS A RESULT...DID BUMP UP MIN TEMPS A TAD FOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA...MAINLY OVER SW AR AND N LA. OTHERWISE...THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

ZONE UPDATE ALREADY OUT...GRIDS WILL BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  39  61  42  68  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  39  57  41  64  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  35  61  37  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  37  59  42  68  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  36  58  39  65  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  40  64  43  70  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  39  63  42  69  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  38  64  44  71  46 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$






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