Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 200150
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
850 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK RIDGING CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA AS A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE SITS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LIGHT EAST WINDS
WILL BE IN PLACE WITH SOME PATCHY GROUND FOG POSSIBLE AGAIN
OVERNIGHT. LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S NORTH...TO
THE LOWER 50S TO AROUND 60 CENTRAL AND SOUTH. THE CURRENT
FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH THIS AND HAVE NO UPDATES PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD WITH SCT-
BKN250 IN PLACE. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS PATCHY GROUND FOG THAT WILL
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...WITH GENERALLY MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE FOG
THOUGH BRIEF LOWER PERIODS MAY BE POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE WATERS THROUGH
SATURDAY KEEPING WINDS NORTHEAST TO EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS. WINDS
VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO THE 10 TO 15 KNOT
RANGE AND REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH
THE SOUTHERLY WINDS...SEA FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BRINGING HIGHER CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS AND ALSO INCREASES THE WINDS TO EXERCISE
CAUTION AND POSSIBLY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...24/HUBBARD
MARINE...74/WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT...05/CARLISLE





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