Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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955
FXUS62 KTBW 171951
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
251 PM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

.SHORT TERM (Today-Sunday)...
High pressure will ridge across the area through the period.
Winds will become light and variable overnight, with patchy
to areas of fog developing after midnight, becoming dense in
areas. This should then dissipate by 14-15z, with skies
becoming mostly sunny for Sunday afternoon. Winds will
increase from the E/SE in the late morning, and then turn
onshore near the coast in the afternoon. Lows tonight will
be in the mid 50s to mid 60s, and highs Sunday will be
generally in the lower to mid 80s.

.LONG TERM (Sunday Night-Saturday)...
Mid/upper level ridging will remain over region through the period
with surface high pressure ridging west from the Atlantic Ocean back
across the Florida peninsula. This will continue the warm
temperatures, more typical of the second half of April, and with a
low level east to southeast flow we`ll see dew points climb back
into the mid to upper 60s making it feel rather muggy. Areas of
deeper moisture will be moving within this flow and when combined
with the warm temperatures and sea breezes could lead to a few
showers in parts of the area on Tuesday, Thursday, and Saturday, but
overall it will remain partly to mostly sunny and dry. The only real
problem could be some late night and early morning low clouds and
fog each day.

&&

.AVIATION...
Light winds will be turning to the W/SW over the next couple
of hours and then become light and variable overnight.
Mostly clear skies will allow for overnight fog to again
develop and cause MVFR to IFR conditions and below in dense
areas. Fog will again dissipate around 15z with light SE
winds in place.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure will ridge across the waters through the week,
with light generally E/SE winds turning onshore in the
afternoons. Sea fog will be possible for the next few days,
with some dense sea fog expected mainly across the northern
and central waters Sunday morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No concerns.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  63  82  66  83 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  63  85  65  85 /   0  10  10  10
GIF  61  85  64  85 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  60  81  65  84 /   0   0   0  10
BKV  55  83  62  85 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  64  79  66  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Dense Fog Advisory from 10 PM this evening to noon EST
     Sunday for Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon
     Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay
     waters-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out
     20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee
     River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/Hubbard
MID TERM/LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...69/Close



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