Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KTWC 021002
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
300 AM MST THU OCT 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY CONDITIONS WITH A SLIGHT WARMING TREND CAN BE
ANTICIPATED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK
AROUND SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT STRENGTHENS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MODELS SHOW A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDING
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH HIGHS PEAKING AROUND SATURDAY. THEREAFTER...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
HAVE THE RIDGE WEAKENING BY WEDNESDAY AS A SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND
APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THIS FEATURE APPEARS TO TAP SOME
MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL SYSTEM...AND TRACKS THIS
MOISTURE AS FAR NORTH AS SONORA MEXICO. AT THIS TIME...THE MOISTURE
APPEARED TO BE LIMITED THIS FAR NORTH SO JUST LOOKING AT SOME
AFTERNOON CLOUD BUILD UPS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 03/12Z.
CLEAR SKIES. SFC WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KTS WITH NORMAL
DIURNAL PATTERNS ANTICIPATED AT ALL TERMINALS. AVIATION DISCUSSION
NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH LOW DAYTIME MINIMUM HUMIDITY LEVELS. LIGHT WINDS ARE
EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK EXCEPT FOR AN EASTERLY BREEZE FRIDAY.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

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