Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
FGUS71 KILN 161023
Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
523 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2017
...NEAR NORMAL FLOOD RISK THROUGH MARCH 2...
Normal flood potential means at least some minor flooding is
possible. Above normal flood potential means more widespread
flooding is possible with some points possibly reaching moderate
or major flood levels.
This is a biweekly flood outlook issued by local NWS offices in
winter and early spring to summarize basin conditions and to
assess the potential for flooding. The outlooks are based on
current and forecast hydrometeorological conditions.
The factors considered when determining flood potential include
current streamflow and reservoir levels compared to normal for
the period, water equivalent in any snow pack, soil moisture
and expected precipitation.
...SNOW COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...
There was no snow pack across any of the area.
Streamflow along the Ohio River itself is running near normal for
mid February, with streamflow on area tributaries either near
normal, or in Kentucky, below normal.
There is no icing is occurring on area rivers.
Soil moisture levels were near to slightly above normal.
Area reservoirs were at winter flood control pool levels, so
optimum designed flood mitigation from reservoirs is in effect.
...WEATHER TRENDS AND PRECIPITATION...
Significant precipitation is not forecast over the first 7 days of
the forecast period. In the 8 to 14 day outlook from the Climate
Prediction Center, however, above normal precipitation and
temperatures are expected. Climatological normal precipitation
for this period is approximately 0.65 inch through the 7 day
Real time river information and forecasts for specific locations
along rivers across Central and Southern Ohio...Northern Kentucky
and Southeast Indiana can be found at: