Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS28 KWNS 222046
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

VALID 241200Z - 301200Z

A MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ASHORE FROM THE E PACIFIC
THIS WEEKEND BEFORE ADVANCING EWD INTO NEXT WEEK. ENHANCED
DEEP-LAYER FLOW SURROUNDING AND PRECEDING THE TROUGH WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE WRN STATES. ATTENDANT STRONG SFC WINDS MAY COMBINE
WITH DIURNALLY REDUCED SFC RH TO SUPPORT SOME FIRE-WEATHER
RISK...ESPECIALLY WHERE DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS BOLSTER BOUNDARY-LAYER
WARMING/DRYING IN AREAS OF DRY FUELS. THIS WOULD BE OF GREATEST
CONCERN FROM PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL GREAT BASIN TO WY FOR THIS
WEEKEND. HOWEVER...DIFFERENCES AMONGST MODEL SOLUTIONS REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF THE TROUGH AND RELATED STRONG-SFC-WIND POTENTIAL...AND
REGARDING THE DEGREE OF BOUNDARY-LAYER DRYING...YIELD LOW CONFIDENCE
IN ANY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK SUCH THAT PROBABILISTIC
DELINEATIONS HAVE NOT BEEN INCLUDED AT THIS TIME.

..COHEN.. 10/22/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.