Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS22 KWNS 051634
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1033 AM CST THU MAR 05 2015

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

NO CHANGE NEEDED. SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.

..MOSIER.. 03/05/2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0232 AM CST THU MAR 05 2015/

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGING OVER THE WRN STATES AND TROUGHING ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN
CONUS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH D2/FRI. AN AREA OF WEAK TROUGHING OFF THE
SRN CA COAST SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY EWD TO THE VICINITY OF NRN
MEXICO/SRN AZ BY LATE FRI EVENING. AT THE SFC...A LARGE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE FROM THE NERN STATES SWWD TO TX. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A SEPARATE HIGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND
AN INVERTED TROUGH OFF THE SRN CA COAST WILL CONTINUE ON D2/FRI.
MODERATE NLY TO ELY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN
CA...THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...AND SRN AZ. AS TEMPERATURES WARM
INTO THE 70S AND 80S FRI AFTERNOON...RH VALUES SHOULD FALL BELOW 15
PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS. REGARDLESS...FUELS SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY
MOIST/UNRECEPTIVE ACROSS THIS REGION...AND THEREFORE NO ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER AREA IS NEEDED.

WEAK SFC TROUGHING BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER THE ERN/SRN
CONUS AND ANOTHER HIGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN SHOULD BE IN PLACE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS FRI AFTERNOON. MODEST WLY/NWLY
DOWNSLOPE WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF SRN
NEB/NRN KS THROUGH THE DAY. ASSOCIATED WARMING/DRYING OF THE
LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS MAY RESULT IN RH VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 25
PERCENT FOR A COUPLE HOURS FRI AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO
THE 50S. A RELATIVE MINIMUM IN PRECIPITATION HAS OCCURRED OVER THIS
AREA THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS. REGARDLESS...THE MARGINAL NATURE OF THE
RH REDUCTION AND SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS PRECLUDES THE INTRODUCTION OF
AN ELEVATED AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN NEB/NRN KS AT THIS TIME.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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