Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS73 KMQT 230945
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DIVERSON NORTH DAY 1...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
545 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION TODAY AND WILL LINGER THROUGH THURSDAY. AS A RESULT...EXPECT
MOSTLY SUNNY...COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS TODAY. AHEAD OF THE
HIGH...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 20 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON AT THE BURN SITE. WITH THE CORE OF THE DRY AIR ASSOCIATED
WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA THURSDAY...MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL FALL TO AROUND 33 PERCENT. DRY WEATHER SHOULD LINGER
INTO FRIDAY BEFORE THE POTENTIAL OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
INCREASES OVER THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
                    BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 31 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (659) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (787)
                    AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1179) BY LATE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3500-5300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5800-6900 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........6      7      8      7      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     66     68     69     66
RH..............59     51     46     44     50
GENERAL WIND....N 10   N 10   NW 10  NW 10  NW 10
GENERAL GUST....20     20     21     20     20
VINDX KT-FT/100.787    1051   1133   1082   798
TRANSPORT WIND..N 20   N 21   N 20   N 18   N 20
MIX HGT (FT)....4600   5800   6700   6800   4700
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 96 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH
                    OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 4
                    TO 9 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (175) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1000 FT AGL BY
                    LATE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........3      3      4      4      4      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     55     49     47     45     47
RH..............55     71     85     89     96     95
GENERAL WIND....NW 6   NW 6   NW 5   NW 4   NW 4   NW 5
GENERAL GUST....14     14     7      5      5      6
VINDX KT-FT/100.573    175    0      38     30     0
TRANSPORT WIND..N 20   N 20   N 18   N 17   N 14   N 13
MIX HGT (FT)....3400   1000   BLW100 300    300    BLW100
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      5      4      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 33 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 4 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (490) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (636) BY
                    LATE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-8300 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........5      6      8      9      9      9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     68     75     75     77     78
RH..............79     54     40     36     34     35
GENERAL WIND....NW 6   NW 6   NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   W 5
GENERAL GUST....9      9      12     12     12     8
VINDX KT-FT/100.33     490    618    610    575    572
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15  NW 12  NW 9   NW 9   W 8    W 8
MIX HGT (FT)....300    4900   7700   7600   8200   8200
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...TITUS
REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140723.DIVER.01/MQT





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