Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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ACUS03 KWNS 310637
SWODY3
SPC AC 310636

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0136 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH MINIMAL SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY...MOST NOTABLY FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND FROM THE FOUR CORNERS STATES
NORTHWARD INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

...SYNOPSIS...
DAYTIME HEATING BENEATH A WEAKENING UPPER RIDGE WILL AGAIN LEAD TO
SCATTERED STORMS FROM AZ/NM NWD TO THE PACIFIC NW...WITH LOCALIZED
STRONG WIND GUSTS. TO THE E...A NEARLY-STATIONARY UPPER TROUGH WILL
REMAIN FROM MI SWD ACROSS THE OH AND LOWER MS VALLEYS. SWLY FLOW
ALOFT AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH WILL EXIST ACROSS THE E COAST...WITH ELY
SURFACE FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC RESULTING IN MOIST AIR MASS WITH POOR
LAPSE RATES. THIS WILL FAVOR MAINLY A HEAVY RAIN THREAT FROM THE
CAROLINAS INTO PA. INSTABILITY WILL GENERALLY BE WEAK...BUT THE
LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION PROFILES MAY FAVOR WEAK MESOCYCLONES
CAPABLE OF WIND GUST ENHANCEMENT.

..JEWELL.. 07/31/2014



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