Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FXUS64 KMRX 231419
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1020 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK COLD FRONT OVER MIDDLE TN...
GENERALLY STRETCHING ALONG A CINCINNATI TO NASHVILLE TO MUSCLE
SHOALS LINE. MODELS INDICATE A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON AS THIS COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA. AS A RESULT...EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP
AREAWIDE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...AS A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
FURTHER AMPLIFIES OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION.

OVERALL...CURRENT FORECAST APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK...BUT WILL UPDATE
THIS MORNING TO REMOVE ANY MORNING PRECIP WORDING...AND TO TWEAK
TEMPS A LITTLE ACCORDING TO THE LATEST TRENDS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN   83  57  74  46  79 /  30  20   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE AIRPORT, TN     81  57  71  43  75 /  40  30  10   0   0
OAK RIDGE, TN             80  55  72  41  75 /  40  30  10   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN    79  54  65  36  72 /  50  30  10   0   0
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DMG
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