Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
648 FNUS53 KDTX 110700 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 300 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024 .DISCUSSION...Trough of low pressure will bring showers early Saturday morning and again Saturday afternoon. Minimum RH values Saturday are expected to be in the mid 50 to mid 60 percent range with northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph. Dry weather Sunday with Minimum RH values in the mid 40 percent range. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-112100- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 300 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers until 0800, then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Max temperature.....54-58. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........55-65 percent. 24 hr trend......22 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west 15 to 20 mph until late afternoon, then becoming northwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming west 20 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (889). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min temperature.....40-45. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Max humidity........89-98 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....64-68. 24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer. Min humidity........43-53 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3540-4040 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (525). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-112100- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 300 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers after 5 am until 11 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 8 am. Chance of rain showers after 11 am. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Max temperature.....54-59. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........65-73 percent. 24 hr trend......39 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming west 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3140-3640 ft agl. Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest early in the morning, then becoming west in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (741). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 am, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms until 11 pm. Slight chance of rain showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....40-45. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....60-66. 24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer. Min humidity........45-55 percent. 24 hr trend......23 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest around 10 mph becoming southwest in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4220-4720 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (402). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-112100- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 300 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers until 5 am, then showers until 0800, then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Max temperature.....58-62. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Min humidity........51-61 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming west until late afternoon, then becoming northwest around 20 mph early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4560-5060 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming west 20 to 25 mph until late afternoon, then becoming northwest around 30 mph early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1361). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min temperature.....42-46. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Max humidity........88-98 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......530-730 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....66-70. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Min humidity........37-47 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest around 10 mph becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4480-4980 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming southwest early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (430). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. $$ KDK