648
FNUS53 KDTX 110700
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
300 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.DISCUSSION...Trough of low pressure will bring showers early
Saturday morning and again Saturday afternoon. Minimum RH values
Saturday are expected to be in the mid 50 to mid 60 percent range
with northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph. Dry weather Sunday with
Minimum RH values in the mid 40 percent range.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-112100-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
300 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers until
                    0800, then chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west 15 to 20
                    mph until late afternoon, then becoming
                    northwest early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming west 20 to 25
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (889).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3540-4040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming southwest 10 to
                    15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (525).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-112100-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
300 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    after 5 am until 11 am. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 8 am. Chance of rain
                    showers after 11 am. Chance of precipitation 90
                    percent.
Max temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......39 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming west 15 to 20 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3140-3640 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the morning, then becoming west in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (741).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 10 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4220-4720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming southwest
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (402).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-112100-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
300 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 5 am, then showers until
                    0800, then chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming west until late
                    afternoon, then becoming northwest around 20
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4560-5060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming west 20 to 25
                    mph until late afternoon, then becoming
                    northwest around 30 mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1361).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....42-46.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......530-730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 10 mph becoming southwest
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4480-4980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming southwest
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (430).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs around 70.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

KDK