Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
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567 FNUS73 KMPX 090957 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Milton Kjeldahl WMA Rx Burn...Minnesota DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 457 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Northeast winds 10-15 mph are expected today with RH dropping into the 30s this afternoon. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Temperature.........46 at ignition...Max 66. RH..................80 percent at ignition...Min 37 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 10 mph at ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 10 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor /7200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /103700 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 16 to 18 mph shifting to the north 15 to 16 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............46 45 48 52 56 59 61 63 64 65 65 66 RH..............80 82 77 71 64 57 51 46 43 40 40 37 20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N 20 FT wind spd..10 10 12 12 12 12 13 13 12 12 12 10 20 FT wind gust.20 18 20 18 17 18 18 18 17 17 16 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.5 3.9 5.5 6.4 6.8 7.0 7.4 Transp wind dir.NE NE E E NE NE NE NE N N N N Transp wind spd.16 16 17 16 16 16 17 18 16 16 15 16 Haines index....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Temperature.........Min 44. RH..................Max 86 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 9 mph early in the evening becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 6 mph overnight shifting to the southwest around 6 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (98100 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2200 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 7 to 16 mph shifting to the east around 6 mph late in the evening, then shifting to the south 8 to 9 mph late in the evening shifting to the southwest around 9 mph after 3 am. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered rain showers in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 68. RH..................Min 36 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest 10 to 18 mph late in the morning, then increasing to 18 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (97200 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (139000 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 10 to 14 mph increasing to northwest 21 to 30 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then increasing to 26 to 31 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Borghoff Requested by...Peter Borash Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413512.0/MPX .DELDT 05/09/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL peter.borash@state.mn.us