Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boise, ID

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FXUS65 KBOI 132034
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
234 PM MDT SUN JUL 13 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...A STRONG SHORT WAVE
TROUGH NOW COMING INTO OREGON AND HEADED INTO WASHINGTON THIS
EVENING WILL HELP INITIATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
WESTERN EDGE OF OUR CWA. WITH WEAK INSTABILITY AND STRONG
SHEAR...WE EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO BE OUR BIGGEST PROBLEMS WITH THE
STORMS THAT FORM. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST
ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT...WITH ONLY ISOLATED
COVERAGE. WITH MORE WIND AND CLOUD THAN NORMAL...WE EXPECT
TONIGHT/S LOWS TO BE AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AS THIS WAVE
MOVES EAST ACROSS IDAHO TOMORROW...THE HEAT WILL CONTINUE AND EVEN
INCREASE. HIGHS IN THE VALLEY TOMORROW WILL BE FROM 103 TO 107 OR
SO. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM AGAIN TOMORROW...
HOWEVER...THE LOCATION IS GREATLY CHANGED FROM TODAY. WE EXPECT
OUR EASTERN EDGE TO BE THE MOST ACTIVE TOMORROW. COVERAGE IS AGAIN
EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED. MONDAY NIGHT THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
BECOMES NW...AND DRIER AND LESS-HOT AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.
MIN TEMPS WILL GET DOWN A FEW DEGREES LOWER THAN TONIGHT...BUT
WILL STILL BE 4 TO 8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HIGHS TUESDAY SHOULD BE
DOWN IN THE MID 90S AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT IN THE
FORECAST.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD...EXCEPT A WEAK
TROF WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN IDAHO AND INTO MONTANA LATE FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY.  MODELS KEEP MONSOON MOISTURE SOUTH OF OUR AREA
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...SO WE WILL BE DRY. TEMPS WILL
REMAIN ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SUNDAY...EXCEPT
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY TEMPS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. MOSTLY CLEAR TODAY EXCEPT INCREASING CLOUDS SE
OREGON AS A TROUGH MOVES OVER SE OREGON AND INTO SW IDAHO BY
MONDAY. CAN EXPECT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HARNEY AND BAKER
COUNTIES AFTER 00Z AND OVER WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AFTER 06Z.
NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS 10-15 KTS TODAY. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE
WESTERLY AROUND 10 KNOTS AT 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...SP
LONG TERM....RD/JT
AVIATION.....RD



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