Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 221142
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
642 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...PATCHY EARLY MORNING FOG OVER PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
BEND/VICTORIA CROSSROADS. OTHERWISE...PREDOMINATE VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. MVFR VISIBILITIES EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP GENERALLY EAST OF U.S. ROUTE 281 DRG THE 08-12Z WED
PERIOD. LGT WIND THIS MORNING INCREASING TO GENERALLY MODERATE
ONSHORE LATER THIS AFTN/EARLY EVENING. WIND BECOMING LGT AGAIN
AFTER 03Z WED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 417 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER
RIDGE/WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGEST DRIER AND HOT CONDITIONS TODAY
OVER THE CWA. NO PCPN EXPECTED TODAY. EXPECT MAX HEAT INDEX VALUES
105-109F OVER MUCH OF THE REGION THIS AFTN. INCREASING MSTR OVER
THE NERN CWA/MSA TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY FROM THE NE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACH OF A TUTT LOW OVER THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO MAY CONTRIBUTE
TO ISOLD CONVECTION OVER THE ERN CWA/NEAR COAST WEDNESDAY
(SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TUTT LOW STILL SUFFICIENTLY EAST
OF THE CWA.) EXPECT SLIGHTLY COOLER MAX TEMPS WEDNESDAY OVER THE
NERN SECTION OWING TO GREATER MSTR.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...MOISTURE REMAINS
ADEQUATE EARLY IN THE EXTENDED ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA
WITH PWATS RANGING FROM 1.6-1.8 INCHES. THE PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDED ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD LEAD TO ISOLATED
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. WITH MODELS LINGERING THE AXIS
THROUGH FRIDAY...WILL MAINTAIN INHERITED POPS FOR THURSDAY...WITH
THE ADDITION OF SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ON FRIDAY MAINLY ACROSS THE
COASTAL PLAINS. MOST LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH
THE PERIOD. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION OVER THE
WEEKEND WITH DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS PERSISTING. TEMPERATURES WILL
RANGE IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S FOR THE COASTAL PLAINS WITH
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 100-107 DEGREES ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY.
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 105 TO 109 WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH DAY DURING THE PERIOD ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    95  78  94  76  96  /  10  10  20  10  20
VICTORIA          96  76  93  76  97  /  10  10  20  10  20
LAREDO           105  78 102  79 103  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE             99  76  98  75 100  /  10  10  20  10  20
ROCKPORT          88  79  89  79  92  /  10  10  20  10  20
COTULLA          101  77 102  76 103  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        98  77  97  76  98  /  10  10  20  10  20
NAVY CORPUS       88  79  89  79  91  /  10  10  20  10  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION



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