


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA
456 FXUS66 KEKA 150701 AFDEKA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Eureka CA 1201 AM PDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Temperatures start trending down today, but high temperatures remain warm. There is a slight chance for thunderstorms in northern Trinity County this afternoon and evening. && .DISCUSSION...An upper level trough is moving into the Pacific Northwest, weakening the ridge. High temperatures today are forecast to be around 5-10 degrees cooler in the interior, with 90`s likely for most areas. Some of the warmest areas may still see triple digits, including northeast Humboldt and Trinity County. A deeper marine layer might bring drizzle to the coastal areas, with slightly higher confidence along the Mendocino coast. There is a slight chance (10-15%) for dry thunderstorms in northern Trinity County this afternoon. Model soundings show some elevated instability, and some moisture remains available. Confidence is low as there is still some CIN, but chances are not zero. The setup remains similar Wednesday afternoon, but with slightly less moisture available. CAMs are showing a better setup in Siskiyou County, but these could drift westward into Del Norte. Chances remain low, 5- 10%, but will need to be watched. A similar pattern remains in place for much of the week with a series of shortwaves moving into the Pacific Northeast. This will keep temperatures moderated in the 90`s. By Thursday, NBM probabilities of triple digits in Trinity and northeast Humboldt fall off to less than 30% into the weekend. JB && .AVIATION...A deeper stratus layer will continue to develop and cover the North Coast into early Tuesday morning. A weak frontal boundary will traverse the region early Tuesday morning aiding in the deepening of the marine layer, while also bringing the potential for light drizzle to terminals around Humboldt Bay with IFR to LIFR conditions likely. Stronger reversal southerly winds around the Del Norte Coast will delay the beginning of stratus encroachment, but IFR to potentially LIFR conditions could occur a few hours before sunrise on Tuesday. VFR conditions are expected for interior areas with potential for smokey conditions in Trinity, interior Humboldt and NE Mendocino counties. && .MARINE...Gale force winds are expected across the outer waters into Tuesday morning, with gusts exceeding 40 to 45 knots possible. As these winds push towards the coast, near- gale to gale gusts are possible nearshore of Point Saint George and Cape Mendocino. Steep wind driven seas 12 to 17 feet are expected through Tuesday afternoon, with the strongest winds and waves expected into Tuesday morning in the outer waters. High pressure will begin to break down Tuesday afternoon, diminishing hazardous conditions by midweek. && .FIRE WEATHER...Breezy offshore winds overnight start to gradually weaken tonight, but westerly gusts of 15-20 mph are possible in the afternoons in the higher terrain. Afternoon RHs remain dry, but overnight recoveries are generally good outside the highest terrain. Temperatures trend downward this week, though 90`s are still likely in most valleys. Upper-level moisture along with elevated instability brings a 10-15% chance for isolated dry thunderstorms in northern Trinity County this afternoon and evening. Moisture and instability decreases by Wednesday into later in the week, along with thunderstorm chances. JB && .EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA... None. NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS... Hazardous Seas Warning until 11 AM PDT this morning for PZZ450. Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT this morning for PZZ455. Gale Warning until 11 AM PDT this morning for PZZ470. Gale Warning until 9 AM PDT this morning for PZZ475. && $$ NOTE: The full forecast discussion is now regularly issued between 10 am/pm and 1 pm/am. Additional updates will be issued as needed. Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/eureka Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: https://www.facebook.com/NWSEureka https://www.twitter.com/NWSEureka For forecast zone information see the forecast zone map online: https://www.weather.gov/images/eka/zonemap.png