Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA
FXUS66 KEKA 281058
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Eureka CA
358 AM PDT SAT MAY 28 2016
.SYNOPSIS...Partly cloudy to sunny skies and dry conditions will
continue across the region through Sunday. Northerly winds will
be moderate and gusty today then gradually diminish the next few
days. Temperatures will increase early next week and dry
conditions will continue as a high pressure ridge strengthens
across the region.
.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions and near normal temperatures will
continue across the region the next few days as an upper level
low pressure system persist across the area. The upper level
low will gradually weaken Sunday. Moderate to moderate and gusty
winds will prevail across the area today. A surface high pressure
ridge will build across the region Monday. Dry conditions and
light to moderate winds will prevail across the area next week.
Temperatures will warm across Northwest California early next
week with partly cloudy to sunny skies prevailing across the
region. Temperatures will decrease to near normal values across
the area with increasing cloudiness occurring Thursday.
.AVIATION...Satellite imagery showed some thin, high clouds over
parts of the state this morning with low level clouds pretty much
restricted to the Eel River delta bringing KFOT to IFR conditions.
VFR should prevail today once the small pocket of stratus erodes
away by mid morning. By tonight models indicate that the thermal
trough that brought dry easterly flow last night will shift inland
and encourage the development of stratus along the coast late
tonight. Confidence is not high but still leaning towards some MVFR
ceilings over Humboldt Bay. KCEC has a better chance of remaining
VFR but wouldn`t be surprised if conditions become variably MVFR
near 12z. Interior areas should be mostly VFR tonight. /KML
.MARINE...Elevated north winds and steep waves will continue through
the weekend as high pressure offshore maintains a tight pressure
gradient across the coastal waters. The strongest winds will be
farther offshore with wind gusts reaching 30 to 35 kt this
afternoon. A small craft advisory was issued to replace the gale
warning early this morning and the other warning continues across
the southern outer waters today. Winds will decrease and steep waves
will diminish early next week as the ridge offshore breaks down and
allows the gradient to relax. Winds and seas are expected to be more
subdued overall by mid to late next week, however, uncertainty in
the track of an approaching weak low pressure system is resulting in
below average confidence in both wind speed and direction.
Meanwhile, model guidance continues to hint at a long period south
swell moving through the waters Wednesday. This will bring larger
sets of wave activity to south facing beaches and anchorages with
only minor impacts expected. KML/BRC
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Monday FOR PZZ450.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Tuesday FOR PZZ470.
Gale Warning until 3 AM PDT early this morning FOR PZZ470.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Monday FOR PZZ455.
Gale Warning until 9 PM PDT this evening FOR PZZ475.
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