Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 031620

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
920 AM MST Sat Dec 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Isolated showers will linger over the White Mountains
early this morning. Otherwise, expect dry weather conditions with
a warming trend through the weekend. A strong cold front may bring
much colder temperatures and showers as early as Tuesday


.UPDATE...Gusty northeast winds have developed this morning in
the wake of Friday`s low pressure system which is currently
spinning over the Gulf of California. These breezy winds will
continue today and tonight as high pressure builds in from the
northwest. Gusts along and south of the Mogollon Rim have been in
the 20-30 mph range...locally in excess of 40 mph in spots along
the south side of the Bradshaw Mountains. Have made minor updates
this morning, but no big changes to the going forecast.


.PREV DISCUSSION /348 AM MST/... A few lingering showers may
continue early this morning across the White Mountains as low
pressure across northwestern Mexico moves south and east away from
Arizona. Daytime temps will warm a bit this weekend, but will be
coupled with locally gusty northeast winds, especially near and
southwest of higher terrain features like the Mogollon Rim and San
Francisco Peaks. The strongest of these winds are expected early
Sunday morning.

By Tuesday of next week, low pressure from the Pacific Northwest
will push southward approaching northern Arizona. Much of the
moisture looks to remain just north of the state, but we`re
currently looking at slight chances for precip returning for
Tuesday and Wednesday. In addition, this will lead to strong and
gusty winds for Tuesday, then cooler temps by Wednesday. Dry
conditions with gradually climbing daytime temperatures are then
expected for the remainder of the week.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z forecast...Mainly VFR conditions across
northern Arizona for the next 24 hours. Til 22z area MVFR cigs on
the north side of the Mogollon rim btwn Heber and Springerville.

Gusty N-NE winds of 15-35 kts along and south of the Mogollon Rim.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






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