Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Indianapolis, IN

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000
FXUS63 KIND 220634
AFDIND

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
234 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

.UPDATE...
THE SYNOPSIS...NEAR TERM AND SHORT TERM SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 230 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN AND PROVIDE DRY CONDITIONS
FOR MOST OF THIS WEEK. COOL TEMPERATURES EARLY IN THE WEEK WILL
RETURN TO NEAR AVERAGE BY LATE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...

ISSUED AT 230 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

CLOUD COVER HAS EASED EARLY THIS MORNING AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE
ON TAP FOR TODAY. HOWEVER STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL MAKE FOR
COOL TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA. SHORT TERM
GUIDANCE APPEARS REASONABLE SO DID NOT STRAY FAR FROM A BLEND FOR
TEMPS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...

ISSUED AT 230 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

HIGH PRESSURE AND A BUILDING UPPER RIDGE WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY AND
GENERALLY MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. TEMPERATURES WILL
SLOWLY WARM BACK TO MORE SEASONABLE VALUES BY THE END OF THIS
PERIOD. NEXT FEW NIGHTS WILL BE COLD THOUGH WITH LOWS IN THE 40S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

ISSUED AT 204 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

CONTINUED QUIET AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE
LONG TERM PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL ACROSS THE
REGION. SOME SUGGESTION THAT A WAVE COULD LIFT FROM THE SOUTH LATE
IN THE PERIOD...BUT MODELS HAVE NUDGED THIS FEATURE TO THE EAST
RESULTING IN LESS LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIPITATION FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.
WAS ABLE TO GO DRY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

850 TEMPS AND THICKNESSES SUGGEST SLIGHT WARMING DURING THE
PERIOD...WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 70S TO
AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE 50S...OR ROUGHLY IN LINE WITH OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 22/09Z TAFS/...
ISSUED AT 204 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

ANTICIPATE NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE TAFS AT 09Z AS WX IS NIL.

ISSUED AT 118 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

THE CU SHOULD BE SETTLING SOUTH OF THE TERMINALS AND ALSO
DISSIPATING IN THE WAKE OF A SHARP UPPER TROUGH LEAVING BEHIND CLEAR
SKIES. MODEL TIME SECTIONS AND CU DEVELOPMENT PROGS SUGGEST CLEAR
SKIES AFTER SUNRISE AND TONIGHT AS WELL. DO NOT THINK FOG WILL BE A
PROBLEM AS DRIER AIR WORKS ITS WAY IN FROM THE NORTH.

NORTH WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA.


&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...SMF
NEAR TERM...SMF
SHORT TERM...SMF
LONG TERM...NIELD
AVIATION...MK/NIELD

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