Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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000
FXUS64 KJAN 022053
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
353 PM CDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...AS WE GO INTO
TONIGHT...CONVECTION FROM TODAY SHOULD DIMINISH WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
AROUND 70. A WEAK UPPER LOW WILL BE PUSHING INTO THE REGION TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. WITH MODEL CROSS SECTIONS SHOWING DRYER AIR ALOFT
MOVING OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY...EXPECT MOSTLY ISOLATED TO LOW
END SCATTERED DIURNAL CONVECTIVE COVERAGE FOR THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
EVENING. HIGH TEMPS ON THURSDAY SHOULD BE WARMER...MAINLY IN THE MID
90S. /27/

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY...TYPICAL LATE SUMMER
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY...OVER THE WEEKEND...AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.  HIGHS EACH AFTERNOON WILL CLIMB INTO THE 90S... WITH
LOWS FALLING DOWN AROUND 70 EACH NIGHT.  LOW-END RAIN CHANCES...
GENERALLY 20-30%...WILL EXIST OVER MOST LOCALES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD.  HOWEVER...SLIGHTLY BETTER RAIN CHANCES...30-50%...LOOK TO
EXIST OVER MUCH OF THE CWA SUNDAY...THEN OVER SOUTH MISSISSIPPI
LABOR DAY AND TUESDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROGGED TO SHIFT
SOUTH SOUTHWEST SKIRTING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA DURING THAT
TIME FRAME.  CONVECTION WILL REMAIN CONFINED PRIMARILY FROM MID-
AFTERNOON UP TO SUNSET.  AS DAYTIME HEATING WANES...ACTIVITY WILL
DISSIPATE. /19/


&&

.AVIATION...MID/HIGH CLOUDS HAVE PERSISTED OVER THE CNTRL PORTIONS
OF THE AREA INHIBITING CONVECTION SO FAR THIS AFTN. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA
ACTIVITY HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE EAST AND WEST WHERE INSOLATION HAS
OCCURRED. ISOLD TO SCT TSRA ACTIVITY MAY LOWER FLT CATS TO MVFR
BRIEFLY THIS AFTN/EVNG. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDS WL CONT THROUGH THIS
EVNG. A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR VSBYS 10-13Z THU WL BE PSBL AT MOST TAF
SITES. /22/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       70  94  71  95 /  18  23  15  19
MERIDIAN      70  93  70  93 /  16  23  18  16
VICKSBURG     69  95  70  95 /  19  17  12  19
HATTIESBURG   72  94  71  94 /  18  30  19  28
NATCHEZ       70  93  71  92 /  21  18  15  25
GREENVILLE    71  95  71  94 /  18  16  12  11
GREENWOOD     69  94  70  94 /  18  16  11   9

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

27/19/22


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