Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 010122
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
822 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

...LOCAL NORTHEASTER CONDITIONS CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST...

.UPDATE...
WEDGE AND LOCAL NORTHEASTER WELL SET UP ACROSS THE AREA WITH
GUSTY WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND BEACHES. THE DEPTH OF THE
NORTHEASTER IS FAIRLY SHALLOW SO MAINLY SEEING LOW CEILINGS...
DRIZZLE AND FOG RATHER THAN WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL. LOOKING AT
RADAR LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE IS COMING ONSHORE FROM FLAGLER BEACH
NORTH TO FERNANDINA AND THIS SHOULD CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THE
NORTHEASTER AND COLD AIR ADVECTION IS FAIRLY WELL ENTRENCHED AND
SHOULD ONLY GIVE GROUND GRUDGINGLY TOMORROW.

&&

.AVIATION...
BASED ON THE NOAA JACKSONVILLE PORTS OBSERVATIONS AND LOCAL METAR
OBS THE DENSE FOG IS ROLLING INLAND DOWN THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND SHOULD
SPREAD OUT ACROSS MOST OF NORTH FLORIDA OVERNIGHT. PREVAILING
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE BETWEEN 2 AND 4 MILES VISIBILITY IN DRIZZLE
AND FOG WITH LOCAL FIELDS OCCASIONALLY GOING DOWN TO LESS THAN
ONE MILE IN LOCALLY DENSE FOG. CEILINGS SHOULD AVERAGE IN THE 200
TO 500 FOOT AGL RANGE OCCASIONALLY DROPPING TO 100 FEET IN AREAS
OF HEAVIER RAIN AND FOG.

&&

.MARINE...
SUSTAINED WINDS OVER THE FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS ARE AVERAGING IN
THE 20 TO 25 KNOT RANGE WITH 25 TO 30 KNOTS OVER THE GEORGIA
WATERS. WINDS CLOSER TO GRAYS REEF ARE OCCASIONALLY GUSTING IN THE
35 KNOT RANGE AND THESE CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO ABATE
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE FLORIDA WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6
TO 10 FOOT RANGE AND WILL ONLY GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH MONDAY.

RIP CURRENTS: HIGH RISK THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG ONSHORE
WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  50  46  56  48 /  60  50  40  10
SSI  51  49  58  51 /  80  90  40  10
JAX  54  51  68  51 /  90  90  30  10
SGJ  60  56  69  55 /  90  90  30  10
GNV  59  53  75  56 /  80  70  20  10
OCF  62  56  77  58 /  70  70  20  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR COASTAL DUVAL-
     COASTAL NASSAU-FLAGLER-ST. JOHNS.

GA...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR COASTAL CAMDEN-
     COASTAL GLYNN.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
     WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM-WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20
     TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL
     OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER
     BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

SANDRIK/CORDERO/SHASHY



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