Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 280113
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
913 PM EDT MON JUL 27 2015

.UPDATE (REST OF TONIGHT)...
ANOTHER NIGHT WITH A SURFACE TROUGH LINGERING IN OUR AREA.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PRETTY MUCH COME TO AN END. HOWEVER
THERE REMAINS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS TO MOVE IN
FROM THE ATLANTIC THROUGH THE NIGHT. HI-RES GUIDANCE IS PICKING UP
THE FOG POTENTIAL PRETTY WELL TONIGHT. LOOKS LIKE MAINLY PATCHY
FOG... BUT AREAS THAT SAW SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL (FROM GNV INTO SE
GEORGIA) COULD SEE SOME LOCALLY DENSE FOG MAINLY FORMING AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND LASTING UNTIL DAWN. BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN IN THE EARLY
MORNING LOOKS TO BE FROM GNV SOUTHWARD WHERE THE BETTER FORCING
FROM THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO AID DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER EXPECT FOG AND LOW
CLOUDS AT NE FL TAF SITES SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT. MVFR VSBYS
POSSIBLE AFTER 04Z WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS MAINLY BETWEEN 09Z-
13Z. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL AFTER 13Z WITH VCSH.

&&

.MARINE...
WIND GRADIENTS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE STRONGER IN THE SE MOST
WATERS RANGING UP TO 15 KNOTS. WEAK SURFACE LOW OFF THE FL WEST
COAST WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH. NO HEADLINES
EXPECTED...BUT CONTINUED THE GA/FL SPLIT TO ACCOUNT FOR MORE
ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE SE GA WATERS. WINDS WILL VEER AND BECOME
MORE SOUTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES INTO THE SE U.S.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK INTO TUESDAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  73  96  74  94 /  10  20  20  30
SSI  76  88  78  87 /  10  20  20  30
JAX  74  91  74  90 /  20  30  30  40
SGJ  74  87  76  87 /  30  40  30  50
GNV  73  92  74  92 /  50  50  40  60
OCF  74  90  74  91 /  40  60  40  60

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

WALSH/ZIBURA/GUILLET



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