Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 241801
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
201 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014


.NEAR TERM.../THROUGH TONIGHT/...

CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
WESTERN AND EASTERN SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS ENHANCING SHOWER
POTENTIAL...ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES. THE CUMULUS
CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING. FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT...WITH
LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. EXPECT HIGH CLOUDINESS TO ADVECT IN
TONIGHT AS WELL AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

.SHORT TERM.../FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

FRIDAY WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY AS WEAK SFC LOW TREKS OFF TO OUR
NORTH WITH LIMITED LIFT AND MOISTURE OVER OUR AREA TO SUPPORT ANY
RAIN CHANCES. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY DURING THE MORNING
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH WINDS OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. TEMPS WILL RISE UP INTO THE MID 80S AND
DROP INTO THE UPPER 50S/LOW 60S IN SE GEORGIA AND LOW 60S IN NE
FLORIDA.

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR
THE WEEKEND LEAVING CONDITIONS DRY AND SKIES MOSTLY TO PARTLY
SUNNY. MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE MID/UPPER 80S ALL WEEKEND WITH
LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT RIGHT AROUND 60 DEGREES AND SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE
LOW/MID 60S.

.LONG TERM.../MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS ALLOWING ISOLATED...AFTERNOON CONVECTION TO
DEVELOP ON MONDAY. SFC LOW STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
PROJECTED TO PASS THROUGH OUR AREA TUES NIGHT THROUGH WEDS NIGHT.
PRECIP CHANCES AND SKY COVER WILL INCREASE TUES AND WEDS WITH THE
APPROACH AND PASSING OF THIS BOUNDARY WITH CONDITIONS LOOKING TO
IMPROVE BY THURSDAY MORNING. MAX TEMPS WILL BE WARM IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S MONDAY AND TUESDAY. NIGHTTIME TEMPS WILL BE MILD IN THE
MID/UPPER 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY TONIGHT. SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO A
FEW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY INLAND. FOG IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT...WITH LOCALLY DENSE FOG POSSIBLE TOWARD
DAWN. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR DENSE FOG WILL BE AT KVQQ/KGNV. A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY.
WHILE THE PASSAGE OF THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY...A
PERIOD OF MVFR CLOUDS ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.MARINE...
A BROAD HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION ON
FRIDAY...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS BOUNDARY
IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES AREA WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT.
ANOTHER BROAD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN FOR THE
WEEKEND. A STRONGER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT AREA WATERS
DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS:LOW RISK THROUGH FRIDAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  60  85  59  85 /  20  10  10   0
SSI  64  82  64  79 /  10  10  10   0
JAX  63  85  60  84 /  10  10  10  10
SGJ  65  84  63  80 /  10  10  10  10
GNV  60  85  62  86 /  20   0  10  10
OCF  60  85  60  87 /  20   0  10  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

GUILLET/STRUBLE/NELSON






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