Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 280723
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
223 AM EST WED JAN 28 2015


.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NW
WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
WEAKEN WITH LIGHT NORTH WINDS VEERING TO THE NE THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RUN ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL
NORMS. SURFACE RIDGE WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT RESULTING
IN CALM AND CLEAR CONDITIONS. A LIGHT FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE
INLAND AS LOW TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S WITH AREAS OF
FROST. ON THURSDAY SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SOUTH OF THE AREA
ALLOWING FOR REBOUNDING TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE LOW/MID 60S. A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH A RELATIVELY NARROW BAND
OF MOISTURE ALONG IT. A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS
OF SE GA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE
DRYING UP AS THE FRONT REACHES NE FL.

.LONG TERM.../SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL RESIDE OVER SE GA / NE FL SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER
NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH PASSING NORTH OF THE AREA ON LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. AHEAD OF THE AFORMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL
TROF...LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE HAVE A VEERING TREND WITH WAA
ADVECTION AS MAX TEMPS INCREASE FROM NEAR NORMAL SATURDAY TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY WITH A JUMP OF 4 TO 6 DEGREES.
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED SUNDAY...WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AS WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIFTS
NORTHWARD INTO THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. AS THE UPPER TROF MOVES
OVER THE ATLANTIC...AN ATTENDANT WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BE
DRAGGED ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY. BY LATE MONDAY INTO EARLY
TUE...THE FRONT WILL MOVE E OF THE REGION AS HIGH PRES BUILDS IN
FROM THE N. MODERATING TEMPS EXPECTED SAT THROUGH SUN...THEN
COOLER AND DRIER CONDS EXPECTED LATE MON THROUGH TUE. ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
PROVIDING ISOLD SHOWERS DURING THE NOCTURNAL HOURS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY WITH
LIGHTER WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...NORTH WINDS WILL BECOME NE THIS AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY
DECREASE. WILL GO WITH SCEC HEADLINE FOR OFFSHORE ZONES TODAY AS
WINDS REMAIN IN 15-20 KNOT RANGE. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE
FURTHER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS SURFACE RIDGE MOVES INTO THE AREA.
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE WATERS EARLY FRIDAY WITH WINDS
AND SEAS INCREASING AGAIN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY THIS WEEKEND. SCEC HEADLINES
MAY BE NEEDED.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK TODAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  52  31  62  44 /   0   0   0  20
SSI  51  39  57  47 /   0   0   0  10
JAX  53  36  63  45 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  53  43  61  48 /   0   0  10   0
GNV  57  35  66  45 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  58  36  67  45 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

&&

$$

ZIBURA/CORDERO/



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