Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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972
FXUS62 KJAX 241355
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
955 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.UPDATE...Water vapor imagery shows nice dry slot across much of
the Florida peninsula due to markedly drier air working across
the region. The upper low is currently extends offshore of Titusville
southwestward into Lake Okeechobee. This low will work westward
through the day with much drier air on the western side of the
low. The 12Z KJAX sounding has a PWAT of only 1.55 inches. The upper
low will move westward into the eastern Gulf of Mexico just
offshore of Tampa by early evening. With this scenario, convection
will be quite limited during most of the day, with drier air and
with our region on the subsident side of the upper low. However,
by early evening, as low pushes into the Gulf and as sea breezes
merge over the Suwanne Valley and the far interior SE GA where
isolated to widely scattered convection is possible.

&&

.AVIATION...Continued VFR with isolated to widely scattered
afternoon convection very late in the afternoon or early evening
with VCTS mainly inland over KGNV between 17-22z away from
coastal TAF sites. Current light southwest wind to become ESE or
SE in the late morning or afternoon, then light and variable again
later this evening/overnight.

&&

.MARINE...Prevailing flow will generally be out of a southerly direction at
around 10 to 15 knots through the upcoming week. Seas will generally
average 2 to 3 feet. No headlines are anticipated.

Rip Currents: Low Risk.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  97  73  95  73 /  30  20  20  10
SSI  90  78  91  77 /  10  10  10  10
JAX  95  72  93  74 /  10  10  20  10
SGJ  91  75  89  75 /  10  10  20  20
GNV  95  72  93  72 /  30  20  40  20
OCF  94  73  93  73 /  30  30  40  20

&&

.JAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Cordero/Nelson



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