Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KKEY 270200

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
958 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2016

Under partly to mostly cloudy skies, temperatures range from the
upper 70s to lower to mid 80s along the island chain. Meanwhile,
local radars are scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms migrating
westward through our region. Surface wise, a modest tropical wave extends
from the southeast Bahamas southward into the island of Cuba, with a
decaying ridge of high pressure well north of our region. Winds are
northeast to east at 10 to 15 knots on our marine district.


.SHORT TERM (Rest of tonight)...
Given an abundance of low and mid level moisture and little if any convective
inhibition...a persistent and convergent northeast to east flow combined with
several traversing boundaries will prompt above normal high chance pops.
Under mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers and thunderstorms, low
temperatures will range between 75 and 80 degrees.


Outside of showers, thunderstorms and outflow boundaries, northeast to east
winds of 15 knots will continue on all Keys coastal waters.

Expect brief periods of MVFR to IFR conditions at both the Key West
and Marathon International Terminals through 27/06Z. Deep layer
moisture combined with local scale impacts including outflows from
thunderstorms off Cuba and South Florida, as well as Island
interactions will be the cause. Will likely be required to amend TAF
occasionally as episodes unfold.


In 2005, Hurricane Katrina lashed the Keys, producing 9.66 inches of rain
at Key West International Airport on the 26th. This is the wettest day on
record in August and the fourth wettest day ever recorded in Key West.


.KEY Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


Data Collection......SC

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