Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS61 KPBZ 030109
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
909 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH MINIMAL CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
ONE OR TWO SHOWERS REMAIN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...BUT
PRECIPITATION COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH. SUBSIDENCE AND
RIDGING BEHIND THIS AFTERNOONS SHORTWAVE SHOULD ALLOW FOR DRY
WEATHER OVERNIGHT. LOWS SHOULD AVERAGE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
SEASONAL LEVELS USING THE LATEST TWEAKED SREF GUIDANCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO SLIDE EAST THURSDAY MORNING...ANOTHER
APPROACHING WEAK SHORTWAVE SHOULD RETURN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES TO THE REGION BY AFTERNOON AS CONVECTIVE THRESHOLDS ARE
REACHED. THE PRECIP SHOULD GRADUALLY END THURSDAY EVENING WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

SLIGHT TO LOW END CHANCES FOR DIURNAL CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE
FRIDAY FOR AREAS FROM PIT SOUTH...THOUGH BUILDING UPPER RIDGING
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR DRY WEATHER TO THE NORTH.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE TO AVERAGE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE USING GFS MOS AND SREF GUIDANCE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE STRONG MID/UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO REBUILD THROUGH THE LONG
TERM PERIOD. RELIEF FROM THE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS MAY COME
WITH A MID WEEK COLD FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH MVFR FOG DEVELOPING AT SOME
LOCATIONS SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE. WIDELY SCT TSRA WILL BE
POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

OUTLOOK...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
BRIEF RESTRICTIONS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH PERI-DAWN FOG.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$


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