Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

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204
FXUS66 KSTO 060541
AFDSTO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
941 PM PST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A few light showers over Shasta county overnight. Otherwise...dry
weather and warm temperatures this weekend into at least the
middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Increasing high clouds over NorCal this evening with a few showers
over northern Shasta county...as weakening frontal band approaches.
Have updated forecast for isolated/scattered showers over Shasta
county overnight. Expecting rainfall amounts to be light generally
less than 0.10 inches. Elsewhere...mostly cloudy skies with patchy
valley fog. Although...increasing clouds should really limit the
coverage.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
Another beautiful day across the area with little in the way of
cloud cover and temperatures rebounding nicely from this morning.
A weak system will move onshore tonight but will encounter
building ridge. Moisture is limited so at best, only expecting a
few showers across northern Shasta County. Fog formation was
patchy and limited this morning to the Valley, generally south of
Sacramento. Expect that to be the case Saturday morning.
Otherwise, ridge will continue to amplify with dry weather and warming
trend into early next week. Monday looks to be the warmest day
with Valley sites in the 70s and higher elevations in the 60s. A
few locations may come close to daily records (like Sacramento and
Stockton).

CEO

&&
.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Tuesday THROUGH Friday)

Robust ridging will slowly shift eastward into mid-week with dry
weather and above normal temperatures for Tues-Weds. As ridge
shifts east, temperatures will see a gradual cooling trend but
will still be a degree or two above normal by the end of the work
week. Model differences remain for the end of the week and into
the weekend, regarding the breakdown of the ridge. Still a chance
for some precip by the end of the period but at this point, not
looking like anything substantial. Will have to wait and see.

CEO
&&

.AVIATION...

Weak stm movg acrs far nrn ptns of CA ovngt into Sat mrng with
isold MVFR poss ovr Shasta mtns in lgt pcpn. Otrw, mnly VFR conds
for Intr NorCal nxt 24 hrs exc in Cntrl Vly S of KOVE and in mtn
vlys...lcl MVFR vsby poss in BR btwn 08z-20z Sat with isold LIFR
in FG poss btwn 10-18z Sat. SFC wnds genly lgt tngt and Sat.


&&

.STO Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$



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