Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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405
FXUS65 KTWC 062153
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
245 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND MUCH WARMER FOR THE COMING WEEK...WITH NEAR
RECORD AFTERNOON HIGHS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A FEW PATCHES OF CIRRUS SHOWING UP TO THE
SOUTH...OTHERWISE QUITE DRY ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WITH CIRA
LAYERED PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH AND SURFACE
DEW POINTS IN SINGLE DIGITS AND NEGATIVE VALUES.

LARGE SCALE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY PHASE IN FROM THE
WEST FOR MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK...DIRTIED UP A BIT BY A WEAK LOW
MEANDERING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE RIDGE SOUTH OF THE BORDER. THE
SUBSEQUENT UNSEASONABLE HEIGHT AND THICKNESS VALUES WILL TRANSLATE
TO NEAR RECORD AFTERNOON HIGH SURFACE TEMPERATURES BY MONDAY OR
TUESDAY. THE SONG REMAINS THE SAME INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 08/00Z.
VFR WITH A FEW PATCHES OF CIRRUS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
WEST. EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS AT ALL TAF SITES AT 5-15 KTS WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 20-25 KTS DURING AFTERNOON HOURS. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM THROUGH THE COMING WEEK.
EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS...GUSTY AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

MEYER/RASMUSSEN

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