Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Las Vegas, NV

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000
FXUS65 KVEF 011629
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
929 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA
TODAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO LOCALLY GUSTY NORTH WINDS TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
OVERHEAD THIS WEEKEND WILL PRODUCE DRY AND WARM WEATHER.
&&

.UPDATE...COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH LAS VEGAS THIS MORNING WITH NORTH
TO NORTHEAST BREEZES BEHIND IT. FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK SO NO UPDATE
PLANNED AT THIS TIME.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
246 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE LOOP SHOWED A BAND OF CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
A SHORTWAVE AND COLD FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF LINCOLN COUNTY BACK INTO
CENTRAL NYE COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING. THE SHORTWAVE WILL BE EXITING
EAST INTO UTAH THIS MORNING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER ALONG
THE UTAH BORDER IN LINCOLN COUNTY EARLY TODAY. THE CLOUD BAND WILL
LINGER EARLY TODAY ACROSS MAINLY LINCOLN COUNTY BEFORE EXITING BY
LATE MORNING. OTHERWISE SKIES WILL BE SUNNY ACROSS THE CWA TODAY.
MEANWHILE...THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE
AREA TODAY WITH SOME LOCALLY GUSTY NORTH WINDS AT TIMES. AN UPPER
RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING OVER THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING TO SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY. SOME
NORTHERLY BREEZES WILL LINGER THURSDAY...PARTICULARLY DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM BULLHEAD CITY TO NEEDLES. WINDS SPEEDS
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN
PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL LEAD TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
AND TEMPERATURES RUNNING A TAD ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY OCTOBER. THERE
IS SOME INDICATION THAT THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN SOMEWHAT BY LATE
TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY ALLOWING A DISORGANIZED DISTURBANCE TO MEANDER
THROUGH THE AREA. RIGHT NOW THERE DOESN`T APPEAR TO BE MUCH IN THE
WAY OF LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM SO WE MAY ESCAPE WITH
LITTLE MORE THAN SOME HIGH CLOUDS MID WEEK.

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A
COLD FRONT IN THE NORTHWEST VALLEY AROUND 12Z WEDNESDAY THEN
OVERSPREAD THE REST OF THE VALLEY BY 16Z WEDNESDAY. SPEEDS WILL
APPROACH 15 KTS...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS POSSIBLE. MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...A BAND OF LOWER TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A
COLD FRONT WILL LINGER OVER LINCOLN COUNTY THIS MORNING WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR THE UTAH BORDER. THESE CLOUDS AND ANY
SHOWERS WILL EXIT TO THE EAST BY MID MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY WITH NORTH WINDS
DEVELOPING BEHIND IT WITH SPEEDS 10-20 KTS. LOCAL GUSTS TO 30 KTS IN
AREAS WHICH FAVOR NORTH WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.
&&

$$

UPDATE...MORGAN
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...HARRISON
LONG TERM...WOLCOTT

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