Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Central Illinois

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FGUS73 KILX 150127
ESFILX
ILC033-079-101-160127-


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
827 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG THE EMBARRAS RIVER IN A FEW DAYS...

River levels have begun to rise in response to heavy rain that
occurred on Saturday. Additional heavy rain is expected over the
next few days, which will likely push the Embarras River over
its banks on Tuesday.

The following river information is based on future predicted
rainfall. The exact amount, intensity, timing, and location of the
rain that will occur is still uncertain. These outlook stages are
provided to show what may be expected if the forecast precipitation
occurs. Once there is more certainty about the river forecasts, a
flood warning or statement will be issued if the threat materializes.

For the Embarras River at Ste. Marie...the latest stage is 2.1 feet
at 8 PM Sunday. Flood stage is 19.0 feet. Minor flooding is
forecast...with a crest of 19.6 feet Tuesday evening...which is 0.6
feet above flood stage. The river should rise above the flood stage
of 19.0 feet Tuesday morning. The river should fall below flood stage
early Wednesday morning. At 19.0 feet...County Highway 9 floods
between Ste. Marie and Willow Hill.

For the Embarras River at Lawrenceville...the latest stage is 20.4
feet at 8 PM Sunday. Flood stage is 30.0 feet. Minor flooding is
forecast...with a crest of 31.5 feet Wednesday evening...which is 1.5
feet above flood stage. The river should rise above the flood stage
of 30.0 feet early Wednesday morning. The river should fall below
flood stage Friday morning. At 33.0 feet...Lumber Mill Road is
inundated.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Mon    Tue    Wed

Embarras River
 Ste. Marie        19   2.1 Sun 8 PM     2.6   18.3   17.6
 Lawrenceville     30  20.4 Sun 8 PM    24.6   27.1   30.4

$$

Shimon


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