Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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281
FNUS21 KWNS 060838
FWDDY1

DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 AM CST SAT FEB 06 2016

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE...CENTERED OVER NORTHEAST TEXAS AT
THE START OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WILL MOVE QUICKLY ALONG THE GULF
COAST STATES AND INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA LATE.  ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
WILL SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY ACROSS THE DAKOTAS AND NORTHERN
MINNESOTA.  FARTHER WEST...A MID/UPPER RIDGE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
WEST COAST.  AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...SETTING UP AN OFFSHORE GRADIENT ALONG
COASTAL RANGES OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND FOSTERING WARM/DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST.

...SOUTH TEXAS...
IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE...ENHANCED
NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION FOR MUCH
OF THE DAY.  THE COMBINATION OF BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING AND A
REMAINING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL FOSTER WIDESPREAD 15-20 MPH
NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS ACROSS THE
ELEVATED DELINEATION TODAY.  SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE
60S AND DRY FUELS/FULL SUNSHINE IN THE REGION WILL FOSTER ELEVATED
TO LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

...SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
A CONTINUED OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
FUELS IN THE REGION REMAIN LARGELY UNSUPPORTIVE OF FIRE GROWTH
HOWEVER...RESULTING IN ONLY A LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT.

..COOK.. 02/06/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

$$



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