Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 211646
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1045 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2018

                 VALID JANUARY 21 THROUGH JANUARY 26

...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH AND EAST TEXAS
TONIGHT/TOMORROW...

                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

An upper level disturbance and cold front are expected to move
across the region today. This will bring rainfall to portions of
North and East Texas beginning this evening and continuing through
the overnight hours. Rainfall amounts of up to 1.00 inch are
expected for areas along and east of I-35, and higher amounts
are likely to remain near the Red River. Based on these amounts,
no signficant river flooding is expected.

Drought conditions are expected to continue through the end of
the month with very little significant precipitation forecast
over the next week.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Monday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of up to 1.00 inch are forecast for portions of
North Texas.

For Monday into Tuesday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Tuesday into Wednesday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Wednesday into Friday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Texas shows the area considered
to be abnormally dry is around 79%, with around 41% of the state
experiencing moderate drought and 16% in severe drought. In New
Mexico, 100% of the state is having abnormally dry conditions, with
87% in moderate drought conditions and 12% in severe drought. The
precipitation forecast the next 5 days will not be heavy enough to
produce significant runoff.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Sabine Basin...
Information regarding Toledo Bend releases is sent by 10 am
until further notice.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
Area rivers remain below criteria and are expected to continue
with at or below normal flows for the next 5 days, as no
significant rainfall is expected during this time frame.


              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/NWSWestGulf

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide

MCCANTS


$$





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