Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 251835
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
135 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

...PRECIPITATION...
IN THE PAST 24 HOURS... MOST OF THE NCRFC AREA SAW
PRECIPITATION...WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
AND THE AREA ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER WITH NORTH DAKOTA AND
MINNESOTA.  THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION FELL FROM
MISSOURI NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE IOWA-ILLINOIS BORDER...THROUGH
CENTRAL AND EASTERN WISCONSIN...AND INTO NORTHWESTERN LOWER
MICHIGAN. TOTALS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES WERE WIDESPREAD...AND MUCH
OF THE REST OF THE REGION SAW TOTALS GREATER THAN A COUPLE TENTHS
OF AN INCH.

IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION...WITH THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN
MOVING NORTH OVER LAKE SUPERIOR TODAY.  NORTHERN MINNESOTA COULD
SEE ANOTHER INCH OF PRECIPITATION...WHILE PORTIONS OF
IOWA...WISCONSIN AND THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN MAY SEE
TOTALS FROM A FEW TENTHS TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH.

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA INTO THE
WEEK...WITH A BREAK ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM
MOVES IN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...
ALL RIVERS IN THE NCRFC AREA HAVE FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.  BUT
BANKFULL CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN DAKOTAS AND
MINNESOTA... WITH THE MISSISSIPPI AT FORT RIPLEY LIKELY TO RETURN
TO FLOOD STAGE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  THE RAINS THIS WEEKEND
CAUSED SMALL RISES ON RIVERS IN IOWA... MINNESOTA... WISCONSIN...
NORTHERN AND WESTERN ILLINOIS... AND UPPER MICHIGAN.  ONLY THE NEW
RISES IN UPPER MICHIGAN WILL REACH BANKFULL STAGES.

THE MISSOURI RIVER CONTRIBUTION IS NOW EXPECTED TO COME IN LOWER
AS THE RAINS DIDN`T QUITE REACH THE EXTENTS OF THE QPF FORECAST...
SO THE MAINSTEM MISSISSIPPI BUMP SHOULD NOW REMAIN BELOW BANKFULL.
WITH 5-DAY QPF EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY LIGHT... NO NEW
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC

EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: JCH...BAC...JMP...LLD

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...LLD/JMP...





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