Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FXUS65 KBYZ 252207
AFDBYZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Billings MT
307 PM MST Sat Feb 25 2017

.SHORT TERM...valid for Sun and Mon...

Scattered snow showers will continue across southeastern Montana
into the early evening as a trough axis continues to push across
eastern Montana. Winds this afternoon and evening will be gusty,
especially around Livingston, but should only gust as high as 40
to 45 mph. Once the wave moves past expect a brief period of
quiet weather across the area overnight ahead of the wave moving
off the Pacific. The majority of the the energy and moisture still
looks be north of the area. As this wave moves across the area
winds will shift to the northeast. While this will give some
upslope, moisture profiles do not show much of a dendritic growth
zone so have just chance PoPs in pretty much across the area.
Temperatures will be around normal. Reimer

.LONG TERM...valid for Tue...Wed...Thu...Fri...Sat...

Models are in decent agreement through most of the extended
period but diverge by the end of next week into next weekend. A
fast northwest flow aloft will mostly prevail across the forecast
area. A few disturbances within the flow will bring periodic
chances for snow showers across the area. Timing of these
disturbances is difficult this far out given the progressive
nature of the upper flow. As a result, there will be a chance for
snow showers or a rain/snow shower mix almost everyday. As it
stands now, the main weather feature looks to be winds around the
Wednesday timeframe, as well as next Friday/Saturday. Lee-side
troughing looks to develop during these periods but latest
guidance has back off quite a bit on winds for Livingston next
Friday. The 00z run last night had 50kt sustained but has since
backed off to about 30kts for next Friday for Livingston. This is
a ways out and models will no doubt fluctuate with this. Look for
temperatures to be below normal through the period until late next
week when readings may warm slightly above normal. Hooley

&&

.AVIATION...

Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy this evening and through
the overnight hours. A few snow showers and MVFR conditions will
be possible along the Dakota borders during the evening.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail across the lower
elevations. The mountains and adjacent foothills will be obscured
at times due to snow shower activity. Hooley

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    Sun     Mon     Tue     Wed     Thu     Fri     Sat
-----------------------------------------------------------
BIL 019/033 019/030 017/033 016/038 023/037 027/049 031/047
    12/J    22/J    22/J    12/W    33/W    11/E    22/W
LVM 015/029 010/028 011/027 011/034 024/036 026/046 030/045
    23/J    36/J    33/J    22/J    33/J    21/N    22/W
HDN 018/037 017/033 016/037 016/041 021/038 023/050 029/049
    01/B    12/J    22/J    11/B    33/W    11/B    12/W
MLS 023/037 021/033 020/035 016/038 022/035 025/047 031/047
    11/E    22/J    22/J    11/N    21/E    11/E    21/N
4BQ 019/039 019/039 021/038 018/042 021/036 024/052 030/051
    10/B    11/B    22/W    11/B    21/E    11/B    11/B
BHK 016/034 017/030 016/032 014/034 016/031 020/046 028/044
    30/E    12/J    22/J    11/B    21/B    11/E    11/E
SHR 010/032 011/033 012/033 012/036 018/036 021/049 027/046
    10/B    11/B    12/J    21/B    33/J    11/B    12/W

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MT...None.
WY...None.

&&

$$
weather.gov/billings



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