Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA

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FXUS66 KEKA 062303
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
303 PM PST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO BRING CLOUDS TO
THE AREA AND A FEW SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING IN THE
NORTH. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA TONIGHT BRING DRY
WEATHER TO THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LATE IN THE WEEK THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR RAIN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS BRINGING SOME CLOUDS TO
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH. THERE MAY BE A
FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS ALONG THE REDWOOD COAST. NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. TONIGHT HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION. AS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS CLEAR THIS EVENING THIS WILL ALLOW CLOUD AND FOG TO FORM IN
THE INLAND VALLEYS. THERE ARE STILL SOME QUESTIONS ON THE EXTENT
AND COVERAGE. IT RANGES FROM VERY LIKELY IN THE WEAVERVILLE AREA
TO POSSIBLE IN THE UKIAH. IT IS ALSO DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE HOW
LONG THE FOG WILL PERSIST EACH...ESPECIALLY IN WEAVERVILLE. THIS
MAY HELP KEEP THE HIGH TEMPERATURES COOLER. THE CLOUDS CLEARED
QUICKLY IN WEAVERVILLE TODAY...BUT WITH THE WARMING ALOFT AND THE
INVERSION STRENGTHENING IT MAY BE A BIT SLOWER TO CLEAR OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO PEAK ON MONDAY AND THEN THE RIDGE STARTS TO
MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST ON TUESDAY AND TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE SIMILAR.
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THIS PERIOD WILL BE DRY.

WEDNESDAY MODELS STARTING SHOWING THE FIRST SYSTEM BRINGING SOME
RAIN. THE GFS BRINGS SOME LIGHT RAIN TO THE AREA IN THE
AFTERNOON...WHILE THE ECMWF IS DRIER WITH THIS FIRST SYSTEM AND
KEEPS THE RAIN MAINLY NORTH OF CA. THE NEXT SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE
LATE IN THE WEEK. THE GFS SHOWS A RETURN TO A WETTER
PATTERN...WHILE THE ECMWF BRINGS A QUICK SHOT OF RAIN TO THE AREA.
THE GFS HAS BEEN DOING BETTER WITH THESE PROGRESSIVE SYSTEMS IN
THE PAST FEW WEEKS...SO HAVE SOME POPS IN THE EXTENDED...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON THIS. MKK

&&

.AVIATION...VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
AT KCEC AND KACV THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOWER CONDITIONS WILL
BE DUE TO HAZE REDUCING VISIBILITIES. VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR
OVERNIGHT AT KCEC AND KACV WITH LIGHT WINDS TO CALM CONDITIONS
OCCURRING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT KCEC AND KACV SUNDAY.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT KUKI THROUGH SUNDAY. LIGHT WINDS
TO CALM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT KUKI THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WATERS
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH THROUGH SUNDAY AS A WESTERLY SWELL PROPAGATING ACROSS THE
WATERS SUBSIDES. HOWEVER A WESTERLY SWELL GENERATED BY A STRONG
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS WILL INCREASE THE
SEAS ACROSS THE WATERS ON MONDAY. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY THEN BUILD AGAIN ON THURSDAY.

&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

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