Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 020145
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
845 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.UPDATE...CONVECTION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE EWX CWA...SHIFTING WELL
SOUTH OF THE CWA INTO REMAINING INSTABILITY AND BETTER LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE. A FEW MODELS INDICATING
RE-DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING NEAR THE CRP/EWX
CWA BORDER ACROSS COASTAL PLAINS UP THROUGH THW EDWARD
PLATAEA...CURRENTLY HANDLED WITH THE LOW POPS. NO MAJOR CHANGES
REQUIRED TO ONGOING FORECAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 648 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

AVIATION...
MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS...ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AND
SCATTERED AREAS OF CIRROSTRATUS WILL HOLD VFR SKIES IN PLACE
THROUGH AT LEAST 07Z AND PROBABLY CLOSER TO DAYBREAK. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO RETREAT SOUTHWARD OVER THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS AND SHOULD NOT BE A FACTOR FOR THE TAF SITES. AFTER A FEW
HOURS OF MORNING MVFR CIGS ALONG I-35 VFR SKIES SHOULD HOLD FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIODS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
ABUNDANT CLOUDINESS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE
KEPT HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY
IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND AND GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
COASTAL PLAINS AND GULF COASTAL WATERS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
LOCATED ACROSS THE TRANS-PECOS THIS AFTERNOON WILL SLOWLY PUSH TO
THE SOUTHEAST AND PRODUCE CHANCES OF RAIN ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 60S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY TO THE UPPER 70S ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. SATURDAY`S HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER 90S IN MOST AREAS.

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
WEATHER PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE A WHOLE LOT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATES THE WESTERN HALF OF CONUS
WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SITS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF. AT THE
SURFACE...REMNANTS OF THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY ACROSS THE COASTAL
PLAINS WILL LINGER AROUND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND PRODUCE ENOUGH
LIFT FOR SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST
COUNTIES. BY WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...AN UPPER STORM SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND FLATTENING
THINGS OUT ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY. A WARMING TREND IS IN STORE
FROM THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              70  93  72  92  73 /  -   10  -   10  -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  68  92  69  92  70 /  -   10  -   10  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     70  94  70  94  71 /  -   10  -   10  -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            70  90  70  90  71 /  -   -   -   -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           77  92  76  96  77 /  20  30  10  10  -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        69  91  71  91  71 /  -   -   -   10  -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             72  94  71  95  71 /  10  10  10  10  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        69  93  70  92  71 /  -   10  -   10  -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   71  91  72  93  73 /  -   10  10  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       74  93  74  93  75 /  10  10  10  10  -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           73  94  73  94  73 /  10  10  10  10  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...18
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...76
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12




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