Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FXUS64 KHGX 020215
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
815 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT WAS MOVING OFF THE COAST AT 8 PM. WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT WERE ALREADY REACHING WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA WEST OF
FREEPORT...AND CURRENT MODEL DATA AND GUIDANCE FORECAST THE
COASTAL WINDS TO REACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BY 9 PM...AND
PERSIST THROUGH 3 AM. BECAUSE OF THIS...WILL ISSUE A WIND
ADVISORY FOR THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL COUNTIES. WILL ALSO UPDATE THE
FORECAST FOR WINDS AND TO END THE RAIN CHANCES OVER THE INLAND
AREAS.

40

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 547 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION IN AVIATION SECTION.

AVIATION...
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH IS WORKING THROUGH KSGR/KHOU WITH A FEW
SHOWERS AND ISO TSRA OVER KHOU. THIS ALL SHOULD BE MOVING OUT
QUICKLY. COLD FRONT WAS PUSHING THROUGH CONROE TO COLUMBUS. FRONT
SHOULD REACH HOUSTON TERMINALS THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. TAFS START
WITH FROPA IN PLACE EVEN THOUGH IT MAY TAKE A LITTLE TIME FOR
WINDS TO INCREASE. WINDS ARE ALREADY GUSTY AT KCLL. ALL TAF SITES
SHOULD REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE.
MAIN ISSUE WILL BE WINDS ALONG THE COAST ESPECIALLY KGLS/KLBX AND
MAYBE KHOU. GLS MAY HAVE GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WITH INLAND SITES
SLIGHTLY LOWER. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE 09-12Z MON AND LIKELY REMAIN
AROUND 10-15KTS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.

39

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      35  49  35  57  44 /   0   0   0  30  40
HOUSTON (IAH)              39  51  36  55  45 /  10   0   0  50  60
GALVESTON (GLS)            42  50  43  55  47 /  10   0   0  60  70

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...MATAGORDA.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CST MONDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 6 AM CST MONDAY THROUGH
     MONDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...
     MATAGORDA BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CST MONDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...40
AVIATION/MARINE...39



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