Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 210253
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
950 PM EST Fri Jan 20 2017

.UPDATE...Scattered showers across Southeastern Georgia will
continue lifting off to the northeast, but another round of showers
out to our west will move in to the area within a few hours. While
there may be a rumble of thunder or two, most of the precip we see
this evening will be mainly just rain.  After midnight, a shortwave
will approach southeastern Georgia/far northern Florida, and that
will begin our thunderstorm chances. There could be some patchy fog
along the coast in Southeastern Georgia late tonight, as well as the
Suwannee Valley, but have backed off on the mention for most of the
area.

The forecast for Saturday and Sunday`s severe weather event look on
track so no changes were made.

&&

.AVIATION...Prevailing VFR expected through at least 06z tonight
though a slight chance of MVFR cigs from GNV to SSI between 03z-06z.
Then anticipate worsening flight conditions as low level moisture
streams northeast across the area. Some VSBY restrictions expected
after 06z/08z but for most part expect lowering stratus event to
LIFR through Saturday morning. Some areas of low VSBY below 1 mile
may be located across the I-75 corridor and into parts of SE GA
based on latest guidance. Conditions should improve gradually
Saturday morning from south to north with MVFR and VFR possible by
around 15z. Showers and thunderstorms will become possible late
Saturday morning into the afternoon with chances at or above 50
percent.

&&

.MARINE...
Some patchy fog is possible along the coast and near shore waters in
Southeastern Georgia late tonight.  Otherwise, relatively quiet
conditions will continue through Saturday morning.  Scattered
thunderstorms are possible from Saturday afternoon through the
weekend, with the potential for advisory level conditions, and
possibly Gales Saturday night onward.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  64  76  63  78 /  50  70  80  80
SSI  63  73  63  73 /  20  50  70  60
JAX  65  78  65  79 /  10  40  60  80
SGJ  64  80  66  78 /  10  20  40  80
GNV  63  80  65  77 /  10  30  60  80
OCF  63  80  66  78 /  10  20  50  80

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Elsenheimer/Shashy/Peterson



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