Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 200132
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
932 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

...CLOUDY WITH AREAS OF DRIZZLE THROUGH THE NIGHT...

.UPDATE...
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAS PUSHED JUST EAST OF
JACKSONVILLE INTO THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AND HAS PULLED THE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLD STORMS ALONG WITH IT. THE COOL/MOIST
NORTH FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE CLOUDY
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NIGHT ALONG WITH AREAS OF DRIZZLE. TEMPS
WILL STEADILY FALL THROUGH THE 50S OVERNIGHT. THE NORTH WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE AROUND 10-15 MPH OVER INLAND AREAS AND 15-20G25-30MPH
ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS...CLOSE TO LAKE WIND ADVISORY HEADLINES.
ON SUNDAY...SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PULL FURTHER AWAY BUT COOL,
MOIST NORTH FLOW WILL MAKE IT HARD TO DISLODGE THE CLOUDS
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS THEN SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WILL TAKE PLACE FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HIGHS STILL
ONLY IN THE 60S ACROSS SE GA AND LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S ACRS NE FL.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS AT 15-20G25-30MPH WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONFIDENT CEILING FORECAST WITH LOW STRATUS CLOUDS LOCKED IN
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. VISIBILITIES ARE A BIT MORE CHALLENGING WITH
OCCASIONAL DRIZZLE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
INSTEAD OF SHOWING MULTIPLE TEMPO GROUPS FOR DRIZZLE...WE WILL GO
WITH PREVAILING LOW VISIBILITIES OVERNIGHT. UNLIMITED VISIBILITIES
THOUGH WILL OCCUR FROM TIME TO TIME DURING PERIODIC BREAKS IN THE
DRIZZLE.  NORTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE COAST. WINDY AND GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL NEAR THE
ATLANTIC COAST ON SUNDAY WITH CEILINGS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
IMPROVE.

&&

.MARINE...
NORTH WINDS TO STEADILY INCREASE TO 20-25 KNOTS WITH GALE FORCE
GUSTS OFFSHORE AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION. SEAS WILL
BUILD INTO THE 6-8 FT RANGE NEARSHORE AND 7-10 FT RANGE OFFSHORE.
CURRENT HEADLINES IN PLACE APPEAR ON TRACK.

SURF ZONE/RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK WITH 3-5 FT SURF/BREAKERS
REPORTED TODAY AND WITH NORTHERLY WIND INCREASE OVERNIGHT EXPECT
4-6 FT BREAKERS ON SUNDAY WITH A SOLID MODERATE/POSSIBLE HIGH RISK
OF RIPS. TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL REMAIN AT LEAST A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL
AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BUT STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW
ANY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING LEVELS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  50  69  51  78 /  30  10  10  10
SSI  56  67  54  68 /  30  10  10  10
JAX  55  71  54  76 /  30  10   0  10
SGJ  59  71  58  69 /  20  10  10  10
GNV  54  75  55  79 /  10  10  10  10
OCF  57  77  57  79 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT TO 6 AM EDT
     TUESDAY FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO
     60 NM OFFSHORE.

     GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EDT SUNDAY NIGHT
     FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EDT MONDAY
     FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE
     TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

HESS/SHULER/MCALLISTER




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