Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FXUS64 KMOB 270432 AAC
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1132 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.AVIATION [27.06Z KMOB/KBFM AND KPNS TAF ISSUANCE]...CLOUDS ALONG ELONGATED
SURFACE TROF EXTENDING FROM CUBA...TO OFF THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA COAST
HAVE DIMINISHED WITH SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST. VFR CONDITIONS FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT...BECOME SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
/10

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 833 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014/

UPDATE...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENT HAZARD PRODUCTS HAVE ENDED AND
WILL REMOVE HEADLINES FROM COASTAL ZONES. AN ELONGATED SURFACE TROF
EXTENDING FROM CUBA...TO OFF THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA COAST IS ACCOMPANIED
BY CLOUDINESS. CLOUDS ARE AT MID TO HIGH LEVELS SO NOT EXPECTING RAIN
FROM THESE OVERNIGHT. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME. /10

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 649 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014/

AVIATION [27.00Z KMOB/KBFM AND KPNS TAF ISSUANCE]...AN ELONGATED
SURFACE TROF EXTENDING FROM CUBA...TO OFF THE TEXAS/LOUISIANA COAST
IS ACCOMPANIED BY CLOUDINESS. THE NORTHERN END OF THE TROF...HAS ITS
CLOUD APPEARANCE EXPANDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...BUT BASES
ARE AT MID TO HIGH LEVELS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS EVENING BECOME MORE EAST TO
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. /10

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 PM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014/

SHORT TERM [TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON]...THE DRY AIRMASS
WILL ALLOW LOW TEMPS TO DROP INTO THE MID 60S INLAND TO MID 70S
ALONG THE COAST. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL WARM A DEGREE OR TWO OVER
TODAY...INTO THE LOW 90S WITH A FEW MID 90S POSSIBLE INLAND. /13

[WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT]...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO ACROSS THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION TO THE SOUTHEAST CONUS BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THIS RIDGE WILL SPLIT IN TWO PIECES...WITH THE EASTERN
PORTION EVOLVING INTO AN UPPER HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER THE SOUTHEAST
STATES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM. THE SURFACE RIDGE
OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL MAINTAIN A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 1.0 AND 1.6 INCHES.
THE INFLUENCE OF THESE TWO HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL KEEP THE AREA
RAIN-FREE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WILL RANGE FROM 65 TO 72 DEGREES...EXCEPT FOR THE MID 70S ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM 90 TO 95 DEGREES.
LOW TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 68 TO 73 DEGREES
INLAND AREAS...AND FROM 74 TO 77 DEGREES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
/22

LONG TERM [FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY]...THE UPPER TROF OVER THE
CENTRAL STATES SLOWLY EJECTS OFF ACROSS THE NORTHEAST STATES THROUGH
MONDAY AS UPPER RIDGING PERSISTS OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
STATES.  A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF STRENGTHENS SOMEWHAT
THROUGH THE PERIOD AND MAINTAINS A PREDOMINATELY SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER
THE FORECAST AREA...WITH ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE SPREADING NORTHWARD
INTO THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND REMAINS IN PLACE
THROUGH THE PERIOD.  WITH DAYTIME HIGHS ABOUT A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD AND GULF MOISTURE OVER THE REGION...EXPECT
THE SEA BREEZE AND DAYTIME HEATING TO SUPPORT CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE AREA EACH DAY.  OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. /29

MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE ACROSS THE MARINE
AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF. AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD LATE IN THE WEEK...A
LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND FLOW RETURNS. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      72  93  72  93  73 /  05  20  05  05  05
PENSACOLA   74  92  75  92  76 /  05  20  05  05  05
DESTIN      76  90  75  90  77 /  05  10  05  05  05
EVERGREEN   65  94  67  95  68 /  05  05  05  05  05
WAYNESBORO  65  94  67  95  69 /  05  10  05  05  05
CAMDEN      65  94  67  95  68 /  05  00  05  05  05
CRESTVIEW   66  94  67  94  69 /  05  10  05  05  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$








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