Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 311109
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
609 AM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 214 AM CDT Tue May 31 2016

An upper level low currently moving east/southeast across eastern
Montana will continue to slide across the Northern Plains today
dragging a trough axis through the Central Plains. At the surface,
low pressure was centered over southeast North Dakota with a
trailing cold front extending south from the low across eastern
South Dakota and into central Nebraska. Scattered showers with a
few embedded thunderstorms continue to weaken as they spread east
across the CWA this morning ahead of the main boundary. Will
continue to carry chances along the cold front as it pushes
eastward through the CWA today and into this evening.

Behind the front/precipitation, surface high pressure will build
into the region and persist through Wednesday. Return flow will
set up on Thursday while a weak shortwave moves through the
Northern Plains. Will continue a small pop in our northern
counties Thursday afternoon to account for this.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 214 AM CDT Tue May 31 2016

Upper level ridging will amplify across the western CONUS while a
shortwave trough moves down the front side of the ridge across the
Northern Plains and toward the Great Lakes region for the start of
the weekend. This will send a cold front into the area Friday
night which will be our next shot at showers and thunderstorms.
Dry conditions expected for the remainder of the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS for KOMA...KLNK...KOFK through 12Z Wednesday)
Issued at 541 AM CDT Tue May 31 2016

SFC cold front has moved through KOFK/KLNK and will soon move
through KOMA. Ceilings consist of mainly mid and high level
clouds currently, but we could see some SC develop behind the cold
front this morning, but this will likely be scattered in nature
and generally VFR. There are a few isolated showers still out
there this morning, and will include a VCSH mention at KOMA/KLNK,
but the rest of the TAF period should be dry. Clouds will decrease
tonight as winds generally become light.

&&

.OAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kern
LONG TERM...Kern
AVIATION...Boustead



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