Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS61 KPBZ 240708
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
308 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MAINLY DRY WEATHER AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND. A
WARM UP INTO THE 70S IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE A COLD
FRONT IMPACTS THE REGION WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
STUBBORN AREA OF STRATUS FROM OIL CITY TO INDIANA AND DOWN THE
RIDGES SHOULD MIX OUT BY MID MORNING AS NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER RELAXES. MAINLY THIN CIRRUS WILL THEN OVERSPREAD
THE REGION AS A WEAK TROUGH ALOFT CROSSES THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES A BLEND OF MODEL MOS.

TONIGHT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING AS A SOMEWHAT
STRONGER SHORTWAVE APPROACHES. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT NEAR SEASONAL
NORMS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORTWAVE CROSSES REGION SATURDAY WITH VERY LIMITED MOISTURE. ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AT BEST. WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF SYSTEM WILL PUSH
TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW AND MID 60S. DRIER AND A BIT COOLER
TEMPERATURES BEHIND SYSTEM SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST
WITH BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
UPR RIDGING ACRS THE ERN CONUS WL BEGIN TO SHIFT E TUE. THIS WL
ALLOW FOR THE APCH AND PASSAGE OF A MID WK...WKNG SHRTWV AND IT/S
ASSOCIATED SFC CDFNT. TIMING SPECIFICS AND AMT OF UPR SPPRT RMN IN
QN SO ONLY FCST CHC POPS ATTM. HIGH PRES IS PROGGED THU BEFORE GENL
UPR TROFG SETS UP BY LT WK. WITH OPERATIONAL MDL DIFFERENCES...
PREFERRED AN ENSEMBLE/WPC SOLN THRUT THE PD. WELL ABV AVG TEMPS ERLY
IN THE WK WL BE REPLACED BY SEASONABLY COOL LVLS AFT FROPA.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AREAS OF LOW MVFR AND IFR ST IS EXPD TO AFFECT PORTS N AND E OF PIT
THRU ERLY MRNG WHERE MOISTURE IS TRAPPED UNDER AN INVERSION.
ELSW...OTHER THAN SOME ERLY MRNG MVFR BR IN OH VFR CONDS ARE EXPD
INTO TNGT UNDER BLDG HIGH PRES.

OUTLOOK.../SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BRF RSTRNS ARE PSBL FOR NW PA WITH A WK SAT CDFNT.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$









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