Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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FXZS60 NSTU 280146
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
246 PM SST SAT DEC 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...
.TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...A MONSOON TROUGH WILL REMAIN TO
THE EAST OF MANUA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE DRIFTING EASTWARD
MONDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH THE LEADING EDGE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH
WILL DIG SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA...THE MONSOON
TROUGH MOVEMENT AND LOCATION WILL HAVE MINIMAL MOBILITY DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF TOKELAU ISLANDS WILL QUASH THE
MONSOON TROUGH TO REMAIN CLOSE TO MANUA AND SWAINS THUS ALLOWING
HEAVY MOISTURE TO LINGER OVER MANUA THROUGH SUNDAY...MEANWHILE...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER COVERAGE WILL ENTER TUTUILA WESTWARD
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. ON MANUA WESTWARD...ANTICIPATE NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT TO BECOME VARIABLE UP TO 10 KT DURING SUNDAY
EVENING. EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS TO LINGER OVER MANUA
THROUGH MONDAY. ON SWAINS...NORTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KT WILL
TURN NORTHEAST DURING SUNDAY. EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
ACROSS SWAINS THROUGH SUNDAY. AS A RESULT...ANTICIPATE WET WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO DAMPEN THE REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

.LONG TERM...
.TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THE TRADE-WIND FLOW WILL RETURN AS
EARLY AS WEDNESDAY AS THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS DRIFTS EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE MIDWEEK. THE LATEST COMPUTER MODELS
INDICATE MINIMAL SHOWERS INTO THE NEW YEAR/S HOLIDAY. AS A RESULT...
EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS
THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...HAZARDOUS SEAS OF 9 TO 13 FEET WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO
NEAR 5 TO 7 FEET ON MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.A HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
.A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

&&

$$

BAQUI







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