Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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900
FNUS75 KRIW 261034
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CLIFF CREEK FIRE...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
434 AM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2106 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COOL UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA FOR
ONE MORE DAY, BRINGING ISOLATED SHOWERS BY LATE MORNING WITH A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BY THE AFTERNOON. A DRIER WESTERLY FLOW
WILL RESULT IN DECREASING CLOUDS AND SHOWERS IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON. A MUCH DRIER AND WARMER WESTERLY FLOW WILL RETURN ON
SATURDAY WITH GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND IN THE AFTERNOON.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    DECREASING CLOUDS AND SHOWERS LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-29 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 4-8 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH MID-AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    WEST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (160000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) EARLY EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY OR EAST 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL IN THE EVENING THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 8
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (60000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (1200
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-22 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5-9 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    WEST SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (126000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...KENDRA JACKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160825.CLIFF.01/RIW



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