Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 281612
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1112 AM CDT FRI JUL 28 2017

                   VALID JULY 28 THROUGH AUGUST 2

...THE MOST WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE WITH MONSOONAL
ACTIVITY OUT WEST...

                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms remain in the forecast across New
Mexico and North Texas today. This activity is associated with
some monsoonal moisture combined with a weak cold front stretched
from North Texas to Oklahoma. No large river concerns are
expected with this activity.

Monsoonal activity in our western and southwestern forecast areas
will dominate the weather through the current forecast period.
Moisture will continue to be abundant across New Mexico and
southern Colorado, which means persistent rains for this area.

Elsewhere, a weak cold front is expected to continue to sag south
from North Texas into Central Texas this weekend. In addition,
the ridge of high pressure that has been dominating our weather
for the past week, will slowly shift to the west. As a result,
portions of North and East Texas will be placed in a
northwesterly flow pattern, which will also bring increased
precipitation chances to the area next week.

After a period of drying conditions, significant river
flooding is not expected with this precipitation.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Saturday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of 0.50 of an inch or less are forecast for portions of
New Mexico and Colorado.

For Saturday into Sunday morning, MAP amounts of 1.00 inch or
less are forecast for portions of New Mexico, Colorado and
North Texas.

For Sunday into Monday morning, MAP amounts of 1.50 inch or
less are forecast for portions of New Mexico, Colorado and
North Texas.

For Monday into Wednesday morning, MAP amounts of up to 2.00
inches are forecast for portions of New Mexico, Colorado and
North Texas.

The latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Texas shows the area considered
to be abnormally dry is around 25%, and roughly 9% of Texas is
experiencing moderate (or worse) drought conditions. In New Mexico,
33% of the state is experiencing abnormally dry conditions, with
only about 1% of the state in the moderate drought category.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...WGRFC Basins...
No widespread river flooding is expected over the WGRFC area during
the next 5 days.


              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/NWSWestGulf

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide

AUSTIN-SMITH


$$





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